TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9363…fbfa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST5464.8%35 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.74
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$94.21
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59.61
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$288.21
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,374.4
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$21.35
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$38.85
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49.6
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$73.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+27.8%+$143.45
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 119.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$61.25
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,080Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$1,019.97
Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 125.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.2
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$40
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+51.6%+$68.07
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$210.05
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$61.1
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$458.81
O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$52.56
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$309.72
Will Indiana win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+211.8%+$297.65
Will Oregon win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.8
Will Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$146.37
Will Texas A&M win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35.7
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Mississippi State vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$131.14
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$201.3
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)backed Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Washington vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37.6%+$90.17
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Tulane vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$80
UMass vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
James Madison vs. Texas Statebacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.9
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.32
Tennessee vs. Kentuckybacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$20
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
South Florida vs. Memphisbacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3860.5%23 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul Carter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.98
Will Jaxson Dart be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.64
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$19.2
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.49
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+33.9%+$329
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+100.4%+$50.1
Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdownsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$193.8
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+177.8%+$179.2
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$78
Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.6
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+34.6%+$103.85
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+32.1%+$224.56
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.2%+$523.56
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+79.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.38
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$72.98
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Georgia State Panthers vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$104
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$21.08
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+74.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$105
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will CF América win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+29.9%+$92
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.84
Record low border encounters in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.2%+$21.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.