College Football · resolved market
Mississippi State vs. Missouri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa60bf6aef9f4811d430a4592b35830f3fd5cfd449848896835ef9d7a68bbe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouriof Mississippi State, Missouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Mississippi State | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Missouri | 69c | 10,160$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.67 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri | 70c | 9,948$6,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.39 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Mississippi State | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.98 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mississippi State | 13c | 1,703$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Mississippi State | 28c | 1,697$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.14 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Mississippi State | 9c | 1,645$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Mississippi State | 31c | 1,631$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.73 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Mississippi State | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Missouri | 71c | 1,609$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.96 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Missouri | 69c | 1,592$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.42 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Mississippi State | 24c | 1,566$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.62 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mississippi State | 4c | 1,230$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mississippi State | 12c | 1,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Mississippi State | 13c | 957.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Mississippi State | 31c | 930.81$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Missouri | 69c | 777.54$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.74 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mississippi State | 14c | 766.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri | 75c | 749.92$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.38 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Missouri | 75c | 534.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Missouri | 70c | 437.14$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Missouri | 69c | 337.1$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Mississippi State | 26c | 326.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mississippi State | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Mississippi State | 33c | 306.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Missouri | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Missouri | 71c | 189$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mississippi State | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Missouri | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…50f2backed Mississippi State | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Mississippi State | 15c | 152.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Missouri | 71c | 150.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Missouri | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…a30ebacked Missouri | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Mississippi State | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…ea3fbacked Mississippi State | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mississippi State | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Missouri | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Missouri | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Missouri | 69c | 81.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…8f3fbacked Mississippi State | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Mississippi State | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Mississippi State | 30c | 67.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…8806backed Missouri | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Missouri | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b72…2cd1backed Mississippi State | 31c | 46.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc384…4ef7backed Missouri | 70c | 45.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf6…b87bbacked Mississippi State | 31c | 44.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Missouri | 70c | 40.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…abbabacked Mississippi State | 31c | 40.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e90…8339backed Mississippi State | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…040abacked Missouri | 71c | 38.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…3ac6backed Missouri | 71c | 37.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8439…76efbacked Missouri | 70c | 35.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Mississippi State | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…7e84backed Missouri | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Missouri | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…a46abacked Missouri | 71c | 26.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…e389backed Missouri | 70c | 25.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…fa84backed Missouri | 71c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Missouri | 70c | 21.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Missouri | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…ee02backed Missouri | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…b4cdbacked Missouri | 70c | 14.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State vs. Missourithis page
- Mississippi State vs. Missouri: O/U 50.5Over won
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Missouri (-6.5)Missouri won
- Spread: Missouri (-7.5)Missouri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.