College Football · resolved market
Spread: Missouri (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f6e8e24762e7e50df01eef589ba9791727d9a602388a404a3d99ace024e5943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouriof Missouri, Mississippi State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Missouri | 55c | 7,215$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.75 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mississippi State | 45c | 7,111$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.95 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Missouri | 54c | 2,366$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.46 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mississippi State | 46c | 1,934$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.51 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Mississippi State | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Missouri | 54c | 1,480$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.8 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Missouri | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Mississippi State | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mississippi State | 44c | 246.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mississippi State | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mississippi State | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mississippi State | 45c | 63.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…9564backed Mississippi State | 46c | 44.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State | 45c | 44.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Mississippi State | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…4dfabacked Missouri | 55c | 36.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mississippi State | 45c | 33.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…feeebacked Missouri | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Missouri | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…b4cdbacked Missouri | 55c | 18.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Missouri (-6.5)this page
- Mississippi State vs. MissouriMissouri won
- Mississippi State vs. Missouri: O/U 50.5Over won
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Missouri (-7.5)Missouri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.