TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6706…7e84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana Tech vs. Washington Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Utah State vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Mississippi State vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Utah vs. Baylorbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Iowa vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Penn State vs. Michigan Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
South Alabama vs. UL Monroebacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
San Jose State vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Marshall vs. Georgia Statebacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$5
West Virginia vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Air Force vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
South Florida vs. Navybacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+32.6%+$19.56
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+52.9%+$12.16
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+44.7%+$14.76
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+76.7%+$19.17
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.86
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.33
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Penn Quakersbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.