College Football · resolved market
San Jose State vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b382b0b0e08befa070fdf545eb66f64bbd37c7cbb701c4a28a5c495cfddab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof San Jose State, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 10,549$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,035.72 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 4,225$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.76 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed San Jose State | 3c | 4,203$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed San Jose State | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 1,800$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked San Jose State | 76c | 1,197$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.53 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked San Jose State | 24c | 1,046$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 997.28$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.93 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State | 74c | 989.27$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.06 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed San Jose State | 77c | 974.03$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Jose State | 76c | 828$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.28 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked San Jose State | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 73c | 536.83$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed San Jose State | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed San Jose State | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked San Jose State | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed San Jose State | 30c | 480$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392b…29d5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 72c | 475.68$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 68c | 411.42$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 399.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.98 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 380$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked San Jose State | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 306.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed San Jose State | 33c | 302.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked San Jose State | 8c | 293.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 78c | 274.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Jose State | 25c | 234.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 232.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Jose State | 28c | 228.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed San Jose State | 76c | 226$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.76 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed San Jose State | 77c | 213.24$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 212.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked San Jose State | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked San Jose State | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 119.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed San Jose State | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed San Jose State | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed San Jose State | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed San Jose State | 44c | 98.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed San Jose State | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 70c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked San Jose State | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 70c | 76.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed San Jose State | 76c | 60.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed San Jose State | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…365bbacked San Jose State | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed San Jose State | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked San Jose State | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…7e84backed San Jose State | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…a0b8backed San Jose State | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a3e0backed San Jose State | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab9…0800backed San Jose State | 76c | 23.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked San Jose State | 76c | 19.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…ee02backed San Jose State | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5033…63c6backed San Jose State | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…c6f0backed San Jose State | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose State vs. Nevada Wolf Packthis page
- San Jose State vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 50.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.