TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

UTEP vs. Missouri State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Missouri Stateof UTEP, Missouri State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$675,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$677,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Missouri State68c336,172$230,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,019.32759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed UTEP32c231,862$73,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,777.0716635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UTEP32c79,174$25,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,335.7821538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Missouri State67c60,884$40,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,310.9514752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Missouri State69c59,972$41,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,591.2132745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Missouri State67c37,379$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,378.6819362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed UTEP17c36,778$6,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,425.631127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed UTEP32c31,187$9,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,979.685141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed UTEP34c30,000$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,299.9927246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Missouri State75c25,058$18,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,205.0617048.2%82 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed UTEP32c20,161$6,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,377.693548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked UTEP31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2006832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UTEP30c15,222$4,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,533.1640541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed UTEP28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8007944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed UTEP31c10,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.9812718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UTEP31c9,961$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.0458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed UTEP32c9,390$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed UTEP32c8,991$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8772343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Missouri State72c8,581$6,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.6126244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked UTEP32c8,076$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.2681847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed UTEP32c6,162$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.848549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d1…5795backed UTEP36c5,715$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x074e…4a2dbacked Missouri State64c5,700$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed UTEP31c5,100$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.9925629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Missouri State70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5003745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed UTEP32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9939954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Missouri State69c4,500$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39538546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked UTEP31c3,969$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9217443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UTEP33c2,955$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.4752449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked UTEP30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed UTEP33c2,292$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.81,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed UTEP13c2,073$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.5113933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UTEP31c2,068$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.212,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Missouri State70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed UTEP32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Missouri State65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9924348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed UTEP36c1,995$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.238450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed UTEP32c1,979$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.565945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked UTEP33c1,803$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016650%33 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Missouri State66c1,800$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.8334529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed UTEP32c1,653$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.8521348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed UTEP32c1,650$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52814743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed UTEP32c1,603$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.961030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed UTEP35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked UTEP7c1,352$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333%1 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked UTEP32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38447131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18cb…5dfcbacked Missouri State68c1,174$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked UTEP32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed UTEP33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4696…a507backed UTEP33c999.94$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UTEP8c906.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed UTEP32c839$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4810047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed UTEP33c800$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked UTEP33c734.13$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6450358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UTEP14c685.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3754243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Missouri State68c578.4$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.09850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Missouri State68c555$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.66949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226d…f49ebacked UTEP12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.781421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Missouri State69c470$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.729351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed UTEP33c454.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.081369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Missouri State70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed UTEP34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13613531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked UTEP35c400$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e2…bd6dbacked UTEP33c385.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.272240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Missouri State69c332.89$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+58%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UTEP31c306$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3629249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Missouri State65c302.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0520757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf75…7623backed UTEP10c298.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.223336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcb…7089backed Missouri State69c289.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d1…8437backed UTEP36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed UTEP34c219$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6521629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb0…d484backed UTEP32c215.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed UTEP31c212.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0528440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed UTEP32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0026…1ed5backed Missouri State70c171.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Missouri State68c169.12$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.124055%22 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked UTEP9c160.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7125819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c09…a69fbacked UTEP33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked UTEP33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Missouri State67c149.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.738868.2%60 W · 28 L+10.5wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Missouri State69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9310664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked UTEP18c141.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.833046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Missouri State74c135.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3239847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc835…d92abacked Missouri State69c129$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480c…fa42backed Missouri State65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94e…de62backed UTEP36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11de…8985backed UTEP33c117.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7650%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Missouri State68c110$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.28142%34 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed UTEP32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3247331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UTEP32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329420.2%19 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed UTEP31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3112755.9%71 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed UTEP31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114254.9%78 W · 64 L+12.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked UTEP36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed UTEP36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d7…fc6cbacked Missouri State68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked UTEP32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Missouri State67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5518868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7897…0842backed Missouri State69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Missouri State69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9616044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e62…0b71backed UTEP32c86.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.