TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc94e…de62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$430
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$243.8
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$345.6
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$261
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$550
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$261
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$331.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$220.9
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+72.4%+$71.4
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45.9
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$174
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$97.5
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.84
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+150%+$90
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$78.4
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+170.3%+$23.31
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$67.5
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$237.6
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$163.4
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$57.6
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+244.8%+$49.7
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$45.6
All 6 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+203%+$93.8
Bowling vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$54.56
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.72
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.76
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$67.17
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+133.6%+$321.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Nasrat Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$396
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.