NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05cf3893e3e4b126043a80c3a2da669171037d914138715df36251a28d47a238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Wizards, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $989,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,046,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $989,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 33c | 57,351$19,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,176.16 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Hornets | 69c | 40,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 31c | 30,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Wizards | 31c | 26,308$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 68c | 22,155$15,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.65 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 34c | 21,485$7,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,259.11 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wizards | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Hornets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 68c | 18,924$12,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,977.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Hornets | 70c | 18,506$12,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.03 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 31c | 15,885$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.92 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Hornets | 69c | 15,030$10,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.29 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Hornets | 67c | 13,971$9,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.59 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Wizards | 48c | 12,955$6,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,171 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 61c | 11,727$7,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.68 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Hornets | 68c | 11,350$7,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.9 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Hornets | 66c | 11,000$7,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.94 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 68c | 10,731$7,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.07 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Wizards | 38c | 10,104$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.22 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Wizards | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Hornets | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Hornets | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…eca6backed Wizards | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 26c | 10,000$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Wizards | 33c | 9,786$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.76 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 67c | 9,415$6,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.66 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets | 68c | 8,850$6,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.76 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wizards | 33c | 8,281$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.98 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Hornets | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 69c | 7,393$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.43 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 50c | 7,391$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.4 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hornets | 70c | 7,323$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.02 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 3c | 7,270$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 37c | 6,886$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 66c | 6,848$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…cd30backed Wizards | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Hornets | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Wizards | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Hornets | 68c | 5,721$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.42 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets | 67c | 5,440$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.37 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 30c | 5,405$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.8 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Hornets | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Wizards | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wizards | 35c | 4,350$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.97 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 32c | 4,041$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked Hornets | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…46f4backed Wizards | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards | 35c | 3,964$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.58 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Wizards | 33c | 3,886$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.39 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wizards | 33c | 3,855$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.02 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards | 31c | 3,762$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.22 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Wizards | 25c | 3,700$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.85 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 66c | 3,460$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 33c | 3,444$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Hornets | 66c | 3,365$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.15 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hornets | 61c | 3,285$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.69 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Wizards | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Wizards | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Wizards | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 42c | 2,547$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.15 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…4cc6backed Hornets | 67c | 2,497$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hornets | 66c | 2,398$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.31 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Wizards | 40c | 2,353$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Wizards | 31c | 2,212$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.79 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Wizards | 31c | 2,109$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.86 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 31c | 2,050$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Hornets | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Wizards | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Wizards | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Wizards | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…66e9backed Hornets | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 41c | 1,958$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Wizards | 16c | 1,927$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…ba02backed Hornets | 67c | 1,795$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Hornets | 72c | 1,716$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.32 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Hornets | 73c | 1,711$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.38 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…80fdbacked Hornets | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…e383backed Hornets | 67c | 1,681$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Hornets | 70c | 1,667$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Wizards | 31c | 1,629$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 34c | 1,604$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.49 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…cc7fbacked Hornets | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e79…9deebacked Wizards | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Hornets | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Hornets | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 27c | 1,468$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 32c | 1,393$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Hornets | 75c | 1,347$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 32c | 1,344$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.77 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 67c | 1,339$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.39 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,313$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets | 75c | 1,296$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.22 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…e81ebacked Hornets | 68c | 1,292$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 28c | 1,268$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.24 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Wizards | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards | 34c | 1,235$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.28 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…95d4backed Hornets | 67c | 1,224$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…cd0dbacked Wizards | 34c | 1,206$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…5aedbacked Wizards | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Hornetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.