NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88dce2b16c9f85d10e4a480238ba670e3f5f3c5b0f11370671847ca36b88c028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 6,181$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 3,303$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…da08backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 53c | 1,874$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.73 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Under | 44c | 1,380$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 1,203$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.05 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…5b9cbacked Under | 1c | 1,075$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 41c | 1,030$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 59c | 882$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 521.07$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 47c | 506.4$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.01 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 333$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 41c | 318$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 297.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 44c | 228.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 49c | 153.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 134.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 55c | 95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 82.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 81.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 62.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 42.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 48c | 40.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Over | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…27cabacked Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 42c | 25.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Wizards vs. HornetsHornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.