NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86498b2a627c13484473ca2df7563e655fbd70802b3761beb2a54b6ba3e42c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 57c | 167,742$95,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,650.91 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 43c | 33,968$14,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,636.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 43c | 32,500$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Wizards | 42c | 29,030$12,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,192.65 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 44c | 15,065$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,579.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards | 44c | 9,256$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.61 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 53c | 9,111$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.34 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 45c | 8,921$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Wizards | 43c | 6,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Wizards | 44c | 5,395$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.73 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Wizards | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.03 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 45c | 4,101$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.73 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Wizards | 43c | 3,391$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.11 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Wizards | 46c | 2,817$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.72 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 45c | 2,562$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…d253backed Wizards | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Wizards | 44c | 2,077$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 43c | 1,800$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wizards | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wizards | 46c | 1,387$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.01 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.05 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wizards | 45c | 1,300$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Wizards | 44c | 1,280$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.98 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Hornets | 50c | 1,158$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Wizards | 45c | 1,123$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.35 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wizards | 43c | 810.53$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.55 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Wizards | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 44c | 510$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Hornets | 50c | 508$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Wizards | 45c | 400.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Hornets | 75c | 265.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wizards | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 51c | 240.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Wizards | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Wizards | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Hornets | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Wizards | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…93bbbacked Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Wizards | 51c | 155.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Wizards | 47c | 121.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Wizards | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Wizards | 44c | 115.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Hornets | 51c | 100.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wizards | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Hornets | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Wizards | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Wizards | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Wizards | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Wizards | 45c | 96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Wizards | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wizards | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wizards | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wizards | 58c | 86.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Wizards | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Wizards | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 49c | 70.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Wizards | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Wizards | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…acb1backed Hornets | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Wizards | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Wizards | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Wizards | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Wizards | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Wizards | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Hornets | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Wizards | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Wizards | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Wizards | 64c | 53.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18fd…1188backed Hornets | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wizards | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Wizards | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Hornets | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Wizards | 47c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wizards | 36c | 42.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 46c | 42.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…5628backed Hornets | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 51c | 40.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…8b4abacked Hornets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Wizards | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Wizards | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Hornets | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Wizards | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Wizards vs. HornetsHornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.