TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f88…ca51

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,853
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT66831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 668 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Colton Smith vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$263.99
US Open, Qualification WTA: Angela Fita Boluda vs Lin Zhubacked Angela Fita Boluda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+113%+$244.49
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.99
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$219
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$240.49
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$469
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$512
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+361.5%+$704.99
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$213.75
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+411.3%+$328.82
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.4
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Cincinnati Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensikbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Cincinnati Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Iva Jovicbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.78
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keysbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$117.5
Showing 25 of 668 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT52438.9%204 W · 320 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 524 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$324.97
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$373.98
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$273
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$480
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.98
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+174.3%+$246.45
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$96
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.99
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$367.5
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$205
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$242.5
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.11
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+290%+$416.4
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.78
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$248.17
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.95
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$195.99
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.95
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$168
Showing 25 of 524 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT13536.3%49 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+604.2%+$171.6
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+707.7%+$1,160.35
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.76
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Timberwolves vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.47
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.81
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.13
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-21.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT8027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.06
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.44
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$232.65
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$164.97
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.37
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.03
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$45.5
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.79
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.14
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.8
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.18
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.24
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$332.61
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+578.1%+$78.78
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$37.06
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$197.24
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$248.7
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+59.1%+$389.76
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$212.18
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+108.9%+$431.32
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6420.3%13 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.15
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.75
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$383.3
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.09
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+262.5%+$782.37
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+167.2%+$312.85
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.53
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.84
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.44
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.25
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.51
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST5525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+61.3%+$131.86
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$42.6
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22.79
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$161.13
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will SPD get between 10% and 13% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.53
Will valid votes be between 34 million and 36 million in South Korean election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$267
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.97
Will valid votes be between 32 million and 34 million in South Korean election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$828.03
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+149.4%+$599
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$875.57
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$258.46
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 30% and 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.2
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+302.8%+$1,258.55
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.82
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,208.94
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.01
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.59
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$424.33
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+194.2%+$1,801.33
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$1,158.57
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$894.68
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST5326.4%14 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$163.53
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+334.8%+$231
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.4%+$30.89
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,122.28
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.73
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.47
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.16
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+40.4%+$179.99
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+138.7%+$201.01
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.12
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.54
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.84
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$330
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.47
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$607.18
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$324.25
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.28
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$176
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.77
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.95
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.93
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+115.3%+$189.12
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.6
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$1,383.15
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$289.65
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+419.5%+$242.25
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$456
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.5
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$245
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+207.6%+$554.29
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.89
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$114.8
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.42
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+345.5%+$172.94
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$62.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.4
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.36
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.54
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$64.93
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.22
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.3
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,275.59
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.7%+$112.18
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$292
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$495.76
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$345
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.95
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+141%+$351
Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+182.1%+$479.96
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$81.88
Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.44
Leicester City FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.96
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$139.95
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.25
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.06
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$105.67
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.4
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.4%+$152.47
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.6
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$152.9
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70.12
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.72
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$208.57
Will "The Grinch" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$63.9
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+148.1%+$781.11
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$103.77
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$389.38
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$79.61
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$252.67
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+342.5%+$154.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$439.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$185.89
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.92
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.02
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.22
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$674
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,642.97
Bitcoin all time high before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.8
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$157.5
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$94.07
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$63.5
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.27
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.98
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$165.3
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.23
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+81.9%+$247.66
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.67
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.77
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+195.2%+$475.97
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+121.4%+$291.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.4
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.54
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$159.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$61.5
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.7%+$78.66
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+123.9%+$89.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-71.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.98
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.7
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.81
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.44
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.65
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$75.36
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,262.11
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.06
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$171.3
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.29
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$70.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-39.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)backed Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+104.7%+$69.26
Spread: Louisville (-11.5)backed Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+97.2%+$82.65
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Blackhawksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+105.5%+$390.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+202.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+244.8%+$80.23
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+160.7%+$172.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.36
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$60.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.37
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+97.3%+$380.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+180.9%+$322
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.63
Pena vs. Harrisonbacked Pena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$221.4
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$190.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Magdeburg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$88.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.