Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf92398e0826983eadba4bcdef4c39151abb2b1744f9be04d588e530e6d9a52d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Over | 38c | 8,589$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.36 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 4,272$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Over | 22c | 2,789$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Under | 70c | 2,096$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.92 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 26c | 1,999$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.74 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 16c | 1,767$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.11 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 70c | 1,752$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.49 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Over | 40c | 1,536$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 1,406$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.39 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 41c | 989.68$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 63c | 861.49$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 70c | 799.35$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over | 42c | 689.93$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 608.78$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 70c | 605.22$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 4c | 523.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99de…be75backed Under | 72c | 405.15$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 361.56$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Under | 66c | 319.11$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Under | 64c | 293.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 292.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 60c | 287.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Over | 41c | 281.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 259.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Under | 67c | 234.08$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 69c | 233.4$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 217.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 59c | 217.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 58c | 171.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 169.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Over | 39c | 148.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 60c | 146.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4108backed Under | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 59c | 138.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 23c | 131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 63c | 122.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 42c | 119.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 21c | 117.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…958dbacked Under | 59c | 115.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 40c | 107.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 70c | 99.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 71c | 98.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 61c | 96.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 60c | 94.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 58c | 92.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…3cd2backed Over | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 15c | 78.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 31c | 76.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Under | 74c | 74.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 27c | 67.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 66.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 70c | 63.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 22c | 58.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Over | 34c | 55.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 64c | 52.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 42c | 51.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 31c | 48.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…df67backed Over | 38c | 37.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 79c | 36.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 70c | 36.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 38c | 34.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 31c | 32.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 60c | 31.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…2b49backed Under | 73c | 31.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…b679backed Under | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 69c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…8f4fbacked Over | 37c | 28.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Over | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 59c | 26.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…b910backed Under | 70c | 23.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b59…db3fbacked Under | 72c | 23.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 60c | 22.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 69c | 21.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 73c | 20.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 70c | 20.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed Under | 74c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.