TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Over38c8,589$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.369746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c4,272$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.036,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Over22c2,789$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.9670%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Under70c2,096$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.923360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over26c1,999$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.745527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over16c1,767$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under70c1,752$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4943241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over40c1,536$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.561637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under71c1,406$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3911753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over41c989.68$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.772334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under63c861.49$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.192,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under70c799.35$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.812347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over42c689.93$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.771346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under71c608.78$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.94,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under70c605.22$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6632345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over4c523.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.187943%34 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99de…be75backed Under72c405.15$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under70c361.56$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.31,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over27c350$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Under66c319.11$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055623.2%13 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Under64c293.52$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.672832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over41c292.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9655751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under60c287.92$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1712549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Over41c281.35$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.362250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under59c259.36$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3480953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Under67c234.08$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under69c233.4$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3541343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under59c217.03$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9839555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under59c217.03$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9824052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under58c171.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.17062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over41c169.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.421,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Under62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.89366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Over39c148.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.84438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under60c146.9$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.361968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd496…4108backed Under68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.162142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under59c138.35$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over23c131$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.138445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under63c122.61$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.372825%7 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over42c119.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.238345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over21c117.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.693672.2%26 W · 10 L+10.9wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+99.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Under59c115.73$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.453246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over40c107.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0712949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over42c99.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under70c99.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under72c98.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.534969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under71c98.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.622035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under66c97.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.311258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under61c96.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.465364.2%34 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under60c94.35$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.744934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under58c92.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.749152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e6…3cd2backed Over15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over15c78.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over31c76.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.686535.4%23 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.363342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb446…2daabacked Under74c74.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.371361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over27c67.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3719244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over30c66.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9873258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under70c63.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf16…b409backed Over22c58.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.79219.5%2 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-85.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed Over34c55.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.971931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under64c52.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.688757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8411842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over28c51.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3510939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over42c51.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4440841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under58c50.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Under60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.525147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over31c48.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under58c48.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4712854.7%70 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under58c48.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4731747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over38c37.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.442744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over39c37.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under79c36.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8513748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under70c36.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1956…1ef8backed Over41c35.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.472142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over38c34.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.218842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed Over31c32.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under60c31.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4911265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d59…2b49backed Under73c31.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…b679backed Under80c30.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.183100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under69c29.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.222263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under60c29.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7114258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1e1…8f4fbacked Over37c28.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed Over35c28.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.043847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under59c26.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0315949.1%78 W · 81 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c26.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.321,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7172…b910backed Under70c23.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under61c23.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.221,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b59…db3fbacked Under72c23.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under60c22.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under59c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1329855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under69c21.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.818961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under73c20.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.467166.2%47 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under70c20.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.942,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb006…3458backed Under74c19.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.