TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over65c8,064$5,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.475145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c6,826$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.494,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over63c6,809$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.894158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c5,164$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.992,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over65c3,927$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.391833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under3c3,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80170%0 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under3c3,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c2,805$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.9876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under35c2,746$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.0120545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under35c2,364$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.551,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over54c2,154$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.662642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over65c2,053$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.62055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c1,990$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.712,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over64c1,400$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.9930149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c1,370$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.971,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c1,202$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under39c1,080$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.311753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Under37c1,063$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3110743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under44c997.21$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.774540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over49c988.75$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.263545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over57c871.07$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.561435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under67c791.33$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.971,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over49c700$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3593545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under30c665.31$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.015623.2%13 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under36c659.99$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…8631backed Under50c642.73$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over62c632.46$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3355751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under35c560.4$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7227552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under38c543.86$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.718144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Over64c535.06$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.622263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over64c509.07$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.272347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over44c499.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.986160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae41…3439backed Over66c490.09$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under35c489.35$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1439555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under35c489.35$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1424052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.691752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d85…c881backed Under35c435.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.648445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Over48c405.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.894438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under35c405.04$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7648950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c399.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c386.4$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.241,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over66c378.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5611449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over40c361.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.95648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c361.39$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.776,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under35c357.59$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.89152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over35c343$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.952532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc72…ab9bbacked Under46c326.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under36c311$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.963167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.071070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over58c301.93$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.422744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over63c287.13$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.245271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over32c277.28$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under36c274.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7912949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c272.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.480953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under37c268.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.775349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over34c232.94$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.214055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under53c230.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4519244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Under51c210.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.42832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c208.93$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.481,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11010232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under59c194.8$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.331258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Under53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.548953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.24362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under35c157.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7932345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f36…5d0abacked Over64c155.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.131758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.432286.4%19 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c144.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.855654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under40c143.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.931338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over62c136.83$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.73482.4%28 W · 6 L+7.1wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+44%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over57c136.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.832944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0821254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under11c133.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155016%8 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over38c129.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9819356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over40c120.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.31546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over31c119.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.383672.2%26 W · 10 L+10.9wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+99.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under45c113.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.196357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over43c112.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0117161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over45c111.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.310634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.098037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Over47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.539651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Under54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.511338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under36c97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.61,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over65c91.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.19355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c91.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over60c86.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.538757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under60c85.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.743342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under35c84.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.629250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over69c81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7112945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over32c71.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4311655.2%64 W · 52 L+13.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over63c69.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.848653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under42c68.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.963336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0420259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over45c65.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8840841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.