Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ddad7bb25efb5143d6b21e1f1e6b11b75eb6fbc986db2372185e6128120694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 4,013$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.31 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 67c | 2,517$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.94 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 66c | 2,215$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 2,156$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 1,367$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.77 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 1,020$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.14 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 1,005$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 65c | 753.08$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 66c | 682.19$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 65c | 602.68$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 66c | 596.61$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Yes | 67c | 512.04$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed No | 41c | 495.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 49c | 490.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 33c | 444.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 49c | 421.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.73 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 34c | 406.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 51c | 386.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…bdfcbacked Yes | 67c | 288.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 278.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 33c | 264.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 13c | 220$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 67c | 197.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Yes | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 66c | 190.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked No | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 33c | 176.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 67c | 158.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc5…eb41backed Yes | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…e7b6backed Yes | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…ab9bbacked No | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 78c | 137.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 27c | 114.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 50c | 111.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 66c | 101.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked No | 34c | 96.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked No | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 33c | 94.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 60c | 88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 67c | 78.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Yes | 67c | 72.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 37c | 70.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 63c | 63.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…b7f8backed No | 36c | 59.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 50c | 57.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 36c | 56.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 34c | 49.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 53c | 49.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f4…21ebbacked Yes | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…a7c2backed Yes | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…5c00backed Yes | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 65c | 41.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 47c | 38.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Yes | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…e207backed Yes | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…3e67backed Yes | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…ed1fbacked Yes | 67c | 15.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.