TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf4ee…e1ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Stocks, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 58 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+328.2%+$65.15
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.7
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.74
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$48.37
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.9
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.09
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.82
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$65.33
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$28.73
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$121.74
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.72
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+198.2%+$78.13
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$43.02
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$24.75
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$21.07
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.4
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.18
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$36.07
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$9.87
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.49
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$16.95
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$128.6
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$23.89
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Brazil vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.36
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.14
Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.92
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.21
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,484.24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,387Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$522.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$210
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+271.1%+$276.57
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25%+$21.82
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.57
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.46
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.49
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.58
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.88
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-79.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+129.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+80.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Rutgersbacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Spread: Notre Dame (-12.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$37.57
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58%+$14.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$296.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.