NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72502347b6186d305e49add224b07e4ed01399e09320f95070e6d16eb773d5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,025,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,163,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,025,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 27c | 256,151$68,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187,579.23 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 74c | 192,202$142,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,229.56 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Spurs | 28c | 166,020$46,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,260.17 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Spurs | 25c | 109,999$27,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,199.61 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Magic | 75c | 90,000$67,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,500 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Magic | 74c | 50,000$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,999.94 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs | 42c | 48,496$20,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,296.33 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 74c | 42,643$31,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,530.5 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs | 27c | 35,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,550 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…5b34backed Spurs | 75c | 33,374$25,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,213.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 66c | 30,000$19,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,699.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 16c | 28,726$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Spurs | 25c | 27,707$6,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,734.07 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 31c | 27,237$8,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,346.96 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 64c | 23,928$15,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.57 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Magic | 73c | 23,144$16,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,895.23 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 46c | 23,054$10,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,624.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 30c | 21,048$6,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.13 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Magic | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.98 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Magic | 51c | 19,768$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.28 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 72c | 19,511$14,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,083.01 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 72c | 18,967$13,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,688.91 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Spurs | 30c | 17,961$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,531.87 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Spurs | 30c | 15,974$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,253.29 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…2e89backed Spurs | 78c | 15,498$12,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.73 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Magic | 73c | 15,137$11,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,010.56 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…f1ecbacked Magic | 74c | 14,853$10,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,991 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Spurs | 70c | 13,459$9,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.18 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 42c | 13,214$5,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,629.29 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Magic | 74c | 13,000$9,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,620 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Spurs | 80c | 12,264$9,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.3 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Magic | 1c | 12,037$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 72c | 10,981$7,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,903.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Spurs | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Magic | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 60c | 9,780$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,832.85 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 53c | 9,538$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Magic | 75c | 8,995$6,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,746.03 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…efecbacked Spurs | 58c | 8,579$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Magic | 15c | 8,422$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.81 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Spurs | 26c | 8,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.97 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Magic | 73c | 8,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.93 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 22c | 7,177$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.1 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 72c | 7,078$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,113.21 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Spurs | 28c | 6,538$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.19 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 38c | 6,236$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Magic | 41c | 6,030$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…c951backed Spurs | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 64c | 5,986$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.23 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 17c | 5,853$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Magic | 72c | 5,633$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.97 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Spurs | 45c | 5,286$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.37 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Magic | 73c | 5,228$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.23 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 73c | 5,177$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.5 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spurs | 57c | 5,000$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Spurs | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs | 62c | 4,763$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.08 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 69c | 4,722$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 74c | 4,634$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.12 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Spurs | 69c | 4,409$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.95 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Spurs | 26c | 4,388$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.46 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb2…0963backed Magic | 73c | 4,113$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 15c | 4,067$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.93 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 23c | 3,965$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.61 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic | 71c | 3,959$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.26 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 71c | 3,896$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.21 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Spurs | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Spurs | 26c | 3,783$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.22 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Magic | 74c | 3,750$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Spurs | 27c | 3,622$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.22 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Magic | 73c | 3,593$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.11 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Magic | 72c | 3,526$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.06 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Magic | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 73c | 3,500$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.05 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Spurs | 27c | 3,372$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.3 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 29c | 3,284$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.76 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422b…093dbacked Spurs | 61c | 3,255$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.78 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Magic | 63c | 3,089$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.65 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Spurs | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Magic | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed Spurs | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…48d7backed Magic | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.99 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Magic | 27c | 2,990$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 45c | 2,864$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.08 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Spurs | 59c | 2,800$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.17 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 73c | 2,702$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.15 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 1c | 2,650$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Magic | 38c | 2,620$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Magic | 10c | 2,591$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.12 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Spurs | 50c | 2,538$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.12 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…4a43backed Spurs | 28c | 2,501$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Magic | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Spurs | 48c | 2,438$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.12 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d4d4backed Spurs | 52c | 2,411$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.05 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…c986backed Spurs | 27c | 2,400$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 34c | 2,356$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.16 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 2,355$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Magic: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Magic: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.