TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$894,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $894,071 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes35c263,547$92,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,240.917557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed No64c114,560$72,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,770.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No65c91,005$59,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,851.756857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No65c61,196$39,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,418.662857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No66c60,782$39,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,898.091770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes37c51,408$19,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,035.412,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes35c41,000$14,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,3503644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c25,283$15,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,307.172,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes38c22,476$8,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,622.7630143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No65c22,000$14,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7004040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No65c19,000$12,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,649.9813444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No65c17,640$11,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,174966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No65c16,974$11,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,940.851145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c16,275$10,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,254.456,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes39c12,821$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes35c11,025$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.315442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4bb…4f0ebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c9,240$5,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.581,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No65c5,840$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.86261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea99…f13ebacked Yes35c5,825$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.751250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+115.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed No65c5,400$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8901650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9545936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed No66c4,494$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.961540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c4,458$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.241,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c0b…01b1backed No66c3,901$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…ccf7backed Yes35c3,900$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes49c3,571$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No56c3,549$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.751,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No74c3,404$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.374369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes36c3,333$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8818259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No62c3,200$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2161,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c3,165$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.221,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No62c3,000$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.241,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked No49c2,959$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.181861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c2,941$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9954,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8e…c322backed Yes54c2,781$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes37c2,702$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7412949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes32c2,430$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.8722458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No62c2,260$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.0124146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes34c2,210$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.5251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes34c2,127$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.231233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No48c2,104$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.3410053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7802951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9715944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes42c1,996$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.4596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b1…8063backed Yes39c1,990$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c1,903$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.391,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes33c1,870$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8525225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No61c1,861$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.9716050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes36c1,821$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.423441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes36c1,779$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.259929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes22c1,748$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.589660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No65c1,711$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.8572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes36c1,676$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.234755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes35c1,672$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.081643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No55c1,637$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.3310341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes46c1,627$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No61c1,618$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.044748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes35c1,611$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes35c1,600$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No61c1,600$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.9910951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c1,586$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked No66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.151080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3507…afd0backed Yes54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes36c1,462$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.052536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked No55c1,300$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5852277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002528%7 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes39c1,202$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.753435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…dddabacked Yes35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked No47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+69.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes39c1,179$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes43c1,158$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No61c1,039$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.5153344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f3…b728backed Yes69c1,027$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes1c1,013$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4516445.7%75 W · 89 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes35c1,006$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.231752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No61c1,005$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9310743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48016437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No61c999.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38013727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes38c999.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38422746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes49c999.85$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.933630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes36c973.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.385850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes32c951.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5f…a6a4backed Yes53c940.17$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes39c794.87$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes51c785.5$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6463…e8fdbacked Yes39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No45c760$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.136462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.