TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,016,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,016,904 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No67c146,775$98,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,871.8617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes32c101,736$32,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,989.91643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Yes35c92,503$32,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,696475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No65c58,400$37,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,440.029856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes34c46,810$15,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,769.711,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes34c46,217$15,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,657.852,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No65c43,630$28,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,270.477750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c43,411$13,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,810.436,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c32,578$21,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,402.351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes33c26,323$8,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,581.42,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No65c21,750$14,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,612.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes34c20,000$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,849.9935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No65c17,460$11,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,035.915356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No66c12,000$7,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,03014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No69c11,594$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.29350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes35c11,480$4,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0184841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes35c10,146$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,503.1377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c8,774$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.961,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes35c8,097$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No65c8,028$5,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8005246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No65c7,588$4,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.461675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes29c7,315$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.444,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No64c7,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5209272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed No69c6,889$4,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.567218.1%13 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+74.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No66c6,000$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0705442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c5,300$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6431,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked No65c4,351$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+87.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes32c4,344$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.261,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes33c4,225$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.812949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes36c4,167$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.679660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Yes36c4,072$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.921540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes32c3,111$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.5245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No66c3,101$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93016050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d1…c8cebacked Yes12c2,917$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No67c2,915$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.794369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.556354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No65c2,789$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No66c2,781$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c2,657$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.291,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes34c2,448$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.6384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes31c2,444$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.8124146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2192…b948backed Yes12c2,020$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6202763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49610951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No69c1,593$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.838146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.981650%8 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46513151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Yes10c1,500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes32c1,393$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.225052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked No66c1,364$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+53.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No65c1,294$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.96150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes31c1,281$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.1113939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes35c1,266$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.19042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked No65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202475%18 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfd3e…dddabacked Yes35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8edf…7eadbacked No68c1,185$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes35c1,171$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes31c1,011$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3607268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32030143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes35c959$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6521253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No68c856.19$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9813444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No68c836.45$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.822536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No64c801$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.361855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No65c799.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28011443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed No66c789.92$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8b…c132backed Yes33c769.7$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick51cpaid-68.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c753.12$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No67c728.79$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes34c715.05$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7923250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24539948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes20c690.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.62,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed No66c664.53$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes32c640$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.57855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed No66c621.44$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.291643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked No66c618.15$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed No66c617.46$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed No66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.066238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes12c581.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.652450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes32c562.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803010%3 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa15…270ebacked No66c557.78$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40b…3418backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes34c516.71$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3139052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No65c510.64$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6910341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b5…a549backed Yes10c500.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes36c475$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6680…0535backed No66c465.46$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes13c460.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.41,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes33c447.58$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4222335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No66c444$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.968257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.