TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$349,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,621 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes31c48,484$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,484.0611445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes30c33,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,099.995345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No70c26,235$18,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,364.512847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c24,398$13,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,167.546,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c21,112$14,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,768.582,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c16,709$9,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,713.122,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c13,332$9,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,200.711,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No70c11,563$8,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,094.315939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No69c7,000$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8309272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No70c6,598$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,618.617653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes35c5,947$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.349660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7504434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No69c5,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c4,324$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.434,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No70c4,061$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8433256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes75c3,695$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.871,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c3,170$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.731,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes30c2,840$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9881050%5 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+119.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes30c2,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7501040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes30c1,906$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.342420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87c…da0cbacked No33c1,864$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.64540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes56c1,598$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.241,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No16c1,400$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9915735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes30c1,333$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.337650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No70c1,222$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.5552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes30c1,205$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes51c1,129$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.249753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes31c1,043$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.529929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6907268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No36c981.15$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.374835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No69c967.74$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.7451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No63c841.97$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.727176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes47c830$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.1736462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No69c824.95$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.224862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No14c810.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9726319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No69c800$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c763$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes42c678.79$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.422335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1610232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed No62c539.95$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No65c505.86$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9822458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34010626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c479$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.821,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes38c451.58$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7153344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No69c434.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.869849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82df…2265backed Yes30c367.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No70c360$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25219357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No38c344.79$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.338831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No31c326.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7345142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.587450%37 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.585750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.582665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Yes51c319.27$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes67c318.6$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.71,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes74c312.43$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.431520%3 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No72c305$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20765557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20735056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21023531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20759958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20760557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20737958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No70c295.14$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.627141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes30c287.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.449763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No69c250$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No62c234$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0836554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa6…c8f7backed No71c233$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce82…6340backed No71c226$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e64…5137backed No71c220$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…429ebacked No71c213$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1b3…6542backed No71c206$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No36c200.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked No70c200$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8abb…a7d5backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402065%13 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No45c198.14$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5913948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe4…6640backed No71c197$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbf…5d89backed No71c196$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82db…f178backed No71c191$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed No66c182.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No69c180$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Yes48c172.76$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.871428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40b…3914backed No29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cad…235fbacked No71c166$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Yes73c164.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1727…680ebacked No70c156$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.24261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2540…05e5backed No71c154$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No65c152.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.223363.6%21 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.55068%34 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.