TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x751d…9f55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.23
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.12
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$448.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.31
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$214.97
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$234.62
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$47.57
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$45.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$69.26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+103.2%+$54.68
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.85
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.04
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.79
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.98
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.47
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,559.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.38
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$219.99
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.66
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.71
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$130.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$182.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+828.5%+$828.47
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$82.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or higher on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+133.3%+$25.32
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+140.3%+$21.05
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+159.3%+$23.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.12
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$213.33
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$278.17
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$174
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.39
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+124.6%+$280.92
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$253.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+124.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$111.43
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,192.08
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$283.62
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$347.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.12
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$437.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.