TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$550,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$558,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Yes17c67,846$11,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,426.319640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…64a0backed Yes0c35,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes17c23,526$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.6216740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda90…38e5backed Yes0c19,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1bb…07a8backed Yes0c17,283$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes16c15,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.931050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+111.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes16c12,229$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.650949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes13c10,000$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.3126550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa13d…152dbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7a…725cbacked Yes3c9,017$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes17c8,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.956640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes0c7,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1339.1%3 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-56%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312f…b91cbacked Yes0c6,799$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c5,249$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.497424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c5,050$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes16c4,281$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68512236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8150…d03fbacked Yes1c4,124$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7b…83f3backed Yes10c4,090$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+149.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Yes9c3,943$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes2c3,941$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.119134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes16c3,919$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.985942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9913…21cfbacked Yes14c3,477$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0646…7ee4backed Yes3c2,808$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes16c2,720$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.24535.6%16 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3753627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b0…dcd6backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186d…b48cbacked Yes0c2,457$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Yes14c1,999$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.861729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes17c1,990$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes2c1,818$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Yes18c1,803$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.462524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes18c1,530$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422d…98b7backed Yes7c1,493$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed Yes15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes14c1,295$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.288140.7%33 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes6c1,250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.983250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe20…99f6backed Yes2c1,226$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+270.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f7…cd10backed Yes1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes2c1,171$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.141040%4 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9556…526dbacked Yes18c1,123$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.111020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-74.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96c3…5662backed Yes1c1,119$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b52…eecabacked Yes5c999.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7f…70cdbacked Yes17c985.81$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+379.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes10c961.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes17c941.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x676a…a7c7backed Yes16c914.69$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.351546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…57d5backed Yes18c852.11$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e7d…224cbacked Yes18c805.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.94425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes7c722.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes16c700$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes8c629.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c621.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.351,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd3…b751backed Yes13c599.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes15c598.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8314647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes14c595.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.478045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13bb…d552backed Yes17c586$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…8be9backed Yes11c534.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes4c524.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7541147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes15c499.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9717526.9%47 W · 128 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c495.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.281,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes14c489$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0611947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes17c480$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.61618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes17c470.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7347…dfb4backed Yes4c466.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11c3…f000backed Yes3c461.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2074…61d9backed Yes17c443$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Yes17c417.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.944134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x462a…45f0backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea9…63ffbacked Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes16c415.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.161450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes4c387.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4712626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes4c361$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1837039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd2…a1b5backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde34…8b33backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe5…b6a1backed Yes10c345.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes17c341.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f84…f7ffbacked Yes16c339$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf63…65dfbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes14c331$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.122638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes16c318.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.925230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…ab2fbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x620b…08f7backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-70.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a85…1811backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…6df3backed Yes17c286.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.