Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6f536062390ae6db686244b78635459d18d8a938029bceefb04baebc4ee6ab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,235 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 585 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 37c | 80,000$29,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 77,926$19,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,536.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 62c | 73,765$45,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,941.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 63c | 64,889$40,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,880.11 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Yes | 38c | 18,383$6,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,407.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 63c | 16,059$10,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,117.16 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,149.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 45c | 13,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,160.02 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 61c | 12,901$7,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.85 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 61c | 10,519$6,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,411.83 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 38c | 10,300$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,386 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…ad06backed No | 60c | 10,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.97 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 62c | 9,158$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked No | 61c | 7,721$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 6,689$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.95 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 62c | 6,048$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.76 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 21c | 6,007$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.73 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 5,873$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 5,307$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225.44 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 21c | 5,239$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.92 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 40c | 5,094$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.25 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 4,365$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.38 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 61c | 4,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 60c | 3,200$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 64c | 2,781$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 2,657$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.32 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 73c | 2,607$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.63 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.98 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 21c | 2,332$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.39 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b0…0b70backed No | 61c | 2,303$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,215$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.44 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…f999backed Yes | 39c | 2,099$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 25c | 1,882$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.7 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 27c | 1,826$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.5 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 1,801$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.69 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,621$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,502$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.02 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 1,211$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.01 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 38c | 1,211$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.53 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 35c | 1,196$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.05 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,179$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.49 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 1,155$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.1 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 62c | 1,119$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.47 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 38c | 1,080$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.66 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 22c | 1,072$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.89 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Yes | 37c | 1,068$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.57 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.84 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…acfabacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 947.49$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.93 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d1…c8cebacked Yes | 35c | 914.27$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 28c | 913.01$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.73 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 29c | 909$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.57 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 37c | 900$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…9aa8backed Yes | 39c | 900$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…d038backed No | 6c | 899.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 28c | 879$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.51 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 20c | 875$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b8…8f28backed No | 61c | 850$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Yes | 40c | 835.4$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…b2cdbacked Yes | 40c | 830$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 36c | 824.52$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.69 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…77e3backed Yes | 40c | 820$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 51c | 814.9$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.35 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +15.0wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…49a3backed No | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 61c | 800$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 39c | 769.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…27c8backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x840c…2e9dbacked Yes | 33c | 764.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…8d55backed Yes | 27c | 762$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…6afebacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 37c | 740$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.