Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ad12a0c5dde6a3825b8f028d46b1a25502cc5ee4b5bf69b74559e688116daa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,261,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,261,527 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 40c | 250,000$101,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,999.98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed No | 64c | 213,172$136,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,742.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 34c | 99,999$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,999.78 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 62,940$35,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,113.83 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 61,942$40,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,738.27 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 39,894$25,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,200.36 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 64c | 39,063$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,062.5 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 31c | 32,000$9,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,919.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 36c | 26,482$9,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,533.35 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 20,992$12,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,271.59 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…86ccbacked No | 65c | 16,000$10,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 37c | 15,990$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.3 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed No | 65c | 15,385$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 36c | 12,989$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,676.04 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 64c | 12,305$7,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 36c | 8,125$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.84 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 69c | 7,040$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.36 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 6,856$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 66c | 6,000$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.98 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 58c | 5,500$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 34c | 5,096$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.71 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 63c | 4,959$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.12 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 60c | 4,950$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.98 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 55c | 4,778$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.33 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +15.0wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 4,636$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 45c | 4,426$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.92 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 57c | 4,178$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.62 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.15 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 66c | 3,706$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.64 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 3,255$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.42 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 66c | 3,000$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.97 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 34c | 2,964$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.01 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 64c | 2,900$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed Yes | 5c | 2,800$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 2,562$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.27 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 2c | 2,450$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…ad06backed Yes | 34c | 2,437$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.71 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 44c | 2,285$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.77 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…4052backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 66c | 2,124$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.24 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 2,100$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.8 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 64c | 2,031$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.97 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 66c | 1,972$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.25 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 66c | 1,757$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.38 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Yes | 57c | 1,724$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 64c | 1,700$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.71 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 53c | 1,532$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.59 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…7a3fbacked No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.98 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked No | 66c | 1,495$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 1,495$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.44 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 65c | 1,412$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.31 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 35c | 1,299$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.65 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 66c | 1,266$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.44 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,172$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,100$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 64c | 1,059$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.24 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 65c | 1,055$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…fe53backed Yes | 36c | 1,050$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 999.46$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.6 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 931$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.89 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Yes | 11c | 908.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 37c | 892.37$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.18 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 64c | 859.38$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 66c | 853$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.44 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff83…a97dbacked No | 65c | 759.93$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 48c | 757.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.56 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc77f…1704backed Yes | 34c | 713.21$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 35c | 708.57$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked No | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32a…e349backed No | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.