TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc2e…2358

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: F1, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 61 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT7447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.41
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,652.9
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,804Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$2,057.49
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$403.55
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$288.89
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,759.86
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,159.68
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$142.02
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.91
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$95.16
Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,330
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+524.3%+$16,483.25
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$350.57
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$174.28
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$2,983.05
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will Arsenal finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.98
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.08
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,035.87
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.93
Will Brentford be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42%+$16.16
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$219.62
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$1,550
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$203
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+142%+$362.34
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$172.66
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$20
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$30
Will Abdul Carter be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+47.6%+$475.93
Will Tyler Warren be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+962.9%+$337.99
Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$221.79
Will Ja'Marr Chase be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Will CeeDee Lamb be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$201.25
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$2.6
Will Joe Burrow lead the NFL in passing yards this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.4%+$57.5
Will Kenny Pickett start Week 1 for the Browns?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.92
Will the Titans make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.43
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.15
Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$129.99
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Cam Ward?backed Sanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will the gross punt yardage in Super Bowl LIX be 332 or more yards?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+100%+$2,242.4
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,060Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+35.8%+$2,888.67
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+234.8%+$921.57
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,840.09
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$499.13
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$870
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$535.69
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$329.39
Will Liverpool finish first in UCL league phase?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37%+$5
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,995Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+1,614.5%+$48,349.32
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,698.84
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$6,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,011.56
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,381.52
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,432.04
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$437.51
Will Lille win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.61
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,378.85
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.41
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.14
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$662.72
Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$345
Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+233.3%+$350
Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$313.81
Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$561.23
Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$450.89
Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+240.4%+$310.05
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Manchester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$199.99
Will Barcelona beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Will the match between LOSC Lille and Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$116.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.19
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.11
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,553.41
Will the Social Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.98
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.19
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.39
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.65
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.2
Will Tadej Pogačar finish in the top 3 at the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$18.68
Will Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92%+$684.25
Will Liberal Alliance win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.42
Will the Social Democrats win <35 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.82
Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$132.13
Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will Johannes Kaiser come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$32.67
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$197.62
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+488.2%+$166
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
F1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,442.5
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,649Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+27.4%+$725.48
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,716Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+243.5%+$4,178.19
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+310.8%+$408.32
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+37%+$29.59
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
F1 Hungarian GP: Hamilton vs. Russell backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.25
F1 Hungarian GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+101.1%+$136.04
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,826Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$498.15
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$289.99
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$100
Alonso vs. Strollbacked Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$34.91
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.97
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$120
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$122.52
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+91.9%+$482.77
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$862
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$167.74
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+455.6%+$410
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$777.37
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.43
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,203.55
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,330.2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,593.26
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.6% and 4.7% on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.4% and 4.5% on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+561.2%+$231.65
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.3% and 4.4% on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.5% and 4.6% on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.9
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.2% and 4.3% on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be less than 4.2% on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2024, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon post 70-79 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$210
Will Elon post 90-99 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.89
Will Elon post 80-89 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$57.59
Will Elon post 60-69 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2024, EDT+42.3%+$7.28
Will Elon post 50-59 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2024, EDT+34%+$147.23
Will Elon post 40-49 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$44
Will Elon post 40-49 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+546.4%+$2,299.36
Will Elon post 50-59 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$80.02
Will Elon post less than 40 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$163.77
Will Elon tweet between 70 and 79 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$78.93
Will Elon tweet between 60 and 69 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2024, EDT+48.3%+$31.85
Will Elon tweet between 50 and 59 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$256.59
Will Elon tweet between 85 and 94 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$122
Will Elon tweet between 65 and 74 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$303.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,065.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,761Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$945.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,837.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$569.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,481.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-76.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+110.2%+$962.91
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,426.95
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$133.03
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$98.12
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$79.66
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,409.77
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$212
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$61
Iran response to Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$22
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$408.76
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,850.71
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$473.49
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT+54.4%+$228.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AGF win Denmark Superliga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$12.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Purdue win the NCAA tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$60.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics 2024-04-29backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$147
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $TRUMP memecoin creator sell by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 300: Justin Gaethje vs Max Hollowaybacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$401.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.