NFL · resolved market
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd14a0b8d67206ebf320c3e7754c5a1db352c4b163a90c2d6c598024e465a2b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,403,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,844,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,403,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 10,230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 36c | 2,366,042$849,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849,217.46 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 61c | 289,801$177,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,466.61 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 80c | 274,201$218,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,424.24 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 50c | 270,876$135,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,441.96 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 48c | 208,092$98,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,234.03 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 18c | 198,125$36,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,059.73 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 17c | 196,776$33,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,073.94 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…5eb7backed No | 77c | 193,000$149,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,946 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…1d9fbacked Yes | 52c | 149,738$78,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,123.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 16c | 130,560$20,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,315.95 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 16c | 130,353$20,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,248.22 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…4703backed Yes | 19c | 122,539$23,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,456.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…5b7abacked Yes | 19c | 117,345$22,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,463.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked Yes | 15c | 114,288$16,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,594.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb762…a604backed Yes | 19c | 108,737$20,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,678.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…d42cbacked Yes | 19c | 108,233$20,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,667.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…8868backed Yes | 44c | 107,472$47,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,624.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes | 15c | 106,712$15,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,787.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…4bc1backed Yes | 19c | 106,144$20,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,280.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…746bbacked Yes | 19c | 102,184$19,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,522.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…c9dcbacked Yes | 20c | 100,590$20,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,603.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 52c | 98,123$51,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,184.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…c3e5backed Yes | 20c | 95,087$18,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,763.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…bb8ebacked Yes | 20c | 94,879$18,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,753.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 47c | 85,130$40,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,747.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c5…2c57backed Yes | 23c | 82,049$19,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,247.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a97…6ee3backed Yes | 19c | 77,939$14,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,813.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d2…eef3backed Yes | 19c | 77,897$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 17c | 74,341$12,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,936.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed No | 48c | 72,538$34,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,608.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…e88abacked No | 77c | 65,000$49,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…cca9backed Yes | 23c | 65,000$15,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 25c | 64,706$16,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,345.04 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed No | 77c | 64,000$49,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,528 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…148bbacked Yes | 23c | 64,000$14,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,528 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…7aaabacked No | 77c | 64,000$49,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,656 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3899…3347backed Yes | 23c | 64,000$14,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,656 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7451…982dbacked Yes | 22c | 64,000$14,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…9773backed No | 77c | 64,000$49,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,528 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…c4fcbacked No | 78c | 64,000$49,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,080 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 23c | 60,000$14,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,047.06 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Yes | 20c | 59,117$12,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,071.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 16c | 57,812$9,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,252 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 29c | 53,721$15,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,508.51 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed No | 69c | 46,154$31,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,268.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 24c | 44,971$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.7 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…0f59backed Yes | 52c | 44,274$23,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,216.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…901fbacked Yes | 18c | 43,953$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c26…4f84backed Yes | 20c | 43,283$8,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,543.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…dfddbacked Yes | 23c | 42,969$9,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,786.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…2d68backed Yes | 17c | 40,599$6,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,863.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…44b0backed Yes | 52c | 40,157$21,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,042.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba61…5b0abacked Yes | 19c | 38,494$7,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,414.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…f1f7backed Yes | 52c | 38,439$19,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,916.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 22c | 36,857$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,062.42 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 20c | 35,421$7,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,147.4 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 23c | 34,773$8,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,103.2 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b4…b7dbbacked No | 47c | 34,080$16,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,992.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…5e08backed Yes | 17c | 34,010$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…ab2ebacked Yes | 20c | 33,857$6,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,619.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…7cbabacked Yes | 20c | 33,701$6,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,644.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Yes | 35c | 31,747$11,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,114.2 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbd…21d7backed Yes | 19c | 31,265$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,922.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 17c | 29,386$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.48 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Yes | 52c | 28,081$14,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,602.23 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…37debacked Yes | 20c | 24,878$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…5c0dbacked No | 48c | 24,112$11,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,559.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…d6eabacked Yes | 19c | 23,506$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…096cbacked Yes | 20c | 22,834$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…80cabacked Yes | 20c | 22,467$4,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Yes | 53c | 22,358$11,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,756.54 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 22,261$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.45 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Yes | 29c | 22,011$6,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.08 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 21,960$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.08 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 16c | 21,926$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.6 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ae3abacked Yes | 20c | 21,835$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475d…6250backed Yes | 20c | 20,815$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…f55ebacked Yes | 31c | 20,722$6,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 48c | 20,000$9,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,496.62 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…0084backed Yes | 20c | 19,826$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…230dbacked Yes | 19c | 19,667$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…fe62backed Yes | 19c | 19,607$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…fccdbacked Yes | 19c | 19,317$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…22e6backed Yes | 53c | 18,912$9,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f2…73b9backed Yes | 20c | 18,776$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…6e56backed Yes | 20c | 18,732$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e30…3895backed Yes | 44c | 18,684$8,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,285.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 49c | 18,498$8,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,983.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…35eabacked Yes | 20c | 18,399$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes | 16c | 18,314$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.25 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…71dabacked Yes | 19c | 18,187$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 34c | 17,184$5,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,851.21 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…65bbbacked Yes | 19c | 16,934$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…11cdbacked Yes | 19c | 16,890$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…d2f9backed Yes | 17c | 16,672$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…1494backed Yes | 19c | 16,450$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Yes | 53c | 16,155$8,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,506.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…5830backed Yes | 19c | 15,928$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…ad27backed Yes | 31c | 15,926$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafd…dd54backed Yes | 33c | 15,752$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,201 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.