TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,140,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,687,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,140,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes1c402,916$5,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.5314837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes2c337,312$7,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,756.151014%4 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes1c311,551$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.949240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes3c309,435$9,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,205.154621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes1c248,439$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.95333%1 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-94.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e1…670bbacked Yes1c208,050$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x638b…f7b9backed Yes1c208,031$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes4c195,473$7,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,241.212711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdb…cc6bbacked Yes3c154,658$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.12941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Yes9c112,280$9,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,997.822630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c105,851$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.176541.5%27 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes2c102,622$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.875724.6%14 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x941b…d05abacked Yes5c74,857$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.82933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes3c74,279$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.11385.3%2 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-71.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes1c66,436$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.0915722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes3c60,950$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.933818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes2c60,915$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.321769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes3c52,216$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.1516226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c50,387$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.543930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eac…32edbacked Yes3c50,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c6…c9dcbacked Yes3c42,664$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes5c40,000$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.1330446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c38,886$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e3…6b1dbacked Yes1c38,460$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b25…5593backed Yes1c38,460$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes5c38,277$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.384327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked Yes2c34,539$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.44318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes2c33,185$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.124738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8538…cd51backed Yes1c32,460$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.26333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes2c32,027$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.86540%26 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f00…4c7dbacked Yes3c29,819$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes2c28,617$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.76140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes1c27,648$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.965036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes4c24,927$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.581969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c24,567$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.212430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3f7…466abacked Yes2c24,348$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb173…ed42backed Yes1c24,090$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.443112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa06…5827backed Yes1c23,977$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes2c23,534$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.328337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59db…c353backed Yes1c22,542$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.683125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0afd…7c61backed Yes2c21,778$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8366…1e07backed Yes2c21,200$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c20,999$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.991061.9%2 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick1cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e4…2d02backed Yes0c20,520$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…d093backed Yes3c20,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7803…49b9backed Yes3c20,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb0…9e99backed Yes3c20,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes1c20,000$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1513348.1%64 W · 69 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf25d…ee92backed Yes3c20,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2c…6702backed Yes3c20,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd98d…3926backed Yes3c20,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca4…78efbacked Yes3c19,838$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e18…1044backed Yes0c19,600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6550…b49ebacked Yes1c19,519$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.12110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c19,328$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.97442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-93.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b1bfbacked Yes1c19,283$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes2c18,988$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1621713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c00…5d94backed Yes1c17,910$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.08323.1%1 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes3c17,500$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.994311.6%5 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes1c17,463$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f8…453dbacked Yes2c17,113$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.98825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9af5…5312backed Yes3c16,259$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002623.1%6 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+77.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes3c15,971$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.561508%12 W · 138 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes1c15,216$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c8…6bdbbacked Yes1c15,006$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c63…439abacked Yes1c15,006$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f2…e9ebbacked Yes1c15,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ceb…e7e9backed Yes1c15,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Yes3c15,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9914750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes3c15,000$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43524351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf024…ca56backed Yes1c14,999$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7684…bb92backed Yes1c14,999$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9231backed Yes1c14,999$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0524…32e8backed Yes1c14,999$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe493…1659backed Yes1c14,999$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6208…edc0backed Yes3c14,494$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes1c14,377$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3b…fae0backed Yes1c14,286$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eaf…2155backed Yes3c13,738$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2121…6127backed Yes0c12,431$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes3c10,850$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7728433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes2c10,661$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.63454.4%2 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-69.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes2c10,587$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.54734.1%3 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes2c10,000$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2438459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes2c10,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ba…c996backed Yes1c10,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2cb…e73dbacked Yes3c9,538$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes4c9,444$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.547655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb990…7f2abacked Yes2c9,145$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes2c9,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204557.3%4 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Yes2c8,850$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.815641.1%23 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes4c8,233$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2525643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe058…0bc3backed Yes5c7,906$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.861216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5220…4e88backed Yes1c7,758$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659729.9%29 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes4c7,690$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.697123.9%17 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes3c7,686$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.842714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-54.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeab…4242backed Yes0c6,950$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes1c6,900$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa99…bc0cbacked Yes1c6,900$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.