TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,500,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,000,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,500,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c4,630,005$13,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,018.1180%0 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Yes0c1,652,514$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,657.543351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c1,017,239$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.081769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1880…5f26backed Yes0c787,903$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.71825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-55.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…e52fbacked Yes0c718,947$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.8460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c0a…53c9backed Yes0c615,925$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.781435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c612,104$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.086541.5%27 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd954…0b97backed Yes0c526,101$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3de…1e93backed Yes0c526,101$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.3714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-79.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3264…c2f2backed Yes0c523,349$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.0550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f1…7475backed Yes0c522,509$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf80…554bbacked Yes0c522,170$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.51922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1e…7d65backed Yes0c488,646$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.9440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da2…b9b3backed Yes0c454,686$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.06825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c392,662$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.993930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9454…4114backed Yes0c386,132$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.5760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a37…91aabacked Yes0c368,863$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.59520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes0c346,245$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.619240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b40…01e7backed Yes0c340,120$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.3660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b0…a4d8backed Yes0c297,801$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.5460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa012…983fbacked Yes0c279,688$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.0680%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e64…1222backed Yes0c279,688$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.06911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-82.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8edc…7796backed Yes0c279,688$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.061225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482f…6cefbacked Yes0c279,688$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.06812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-81.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…901abacked Yes0c279,624$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.871338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18dc…5fd9backed Yes0c279,624$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.87714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-79.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c96…bb48backed Yes0c279,513$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.54825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f4…19e4backed Yes0c279,513$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.541030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-56.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8d…d956backed Yes0c279,513$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.5460%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9528…0a08backed Yes0c279,513$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.54933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-53.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbfd…4d53backed Yes0c279,513$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.541010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-86.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fa8…db2dbacked Yes0c279,513$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.541040%4 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc51d…7addbacked Yes0c279,513$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.5470%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3eb…6b2ebacked Yes0c279,513$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-78.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae99…da2bbacked Yes0c279,458$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.37837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd2…b4b8backed Yes0c279,458$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.37911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-74.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…c78fbacked Yes0c279,458$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.371030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecb…c9cabacked Yes0c279,458$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.371127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0d…7211backed Yes0c279,458$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.37922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid-55.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5589…5017backed Yes0c275,886$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.66837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd368…1cdfbacked Yes0c275,869$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.6160%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d84…f37cbacked Yes0c275,869$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.611127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0854…09d6backed Yes0c275,830$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.4950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abe…2e42backed Yes0c275,813$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.4450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4961…df10backed Yes0c275,813$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.44837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid-30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7948…0916backed Yes0c275,777$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.3350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff0…208fbacked Yes0c275,740$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-82.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e6f…d038backed Yes0c275,680$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aaf…a9ffbacked Yes0c275,680$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.04825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22c…10d4backed Yes0c275,671$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca6…8d37backed Yes0c275,620$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.86812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f9…7139backed Yes0c275,568$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.770%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf4…406bbacked Yes0c275,535$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.61616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2abb…b08abacked Yes0c275,535$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.61933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3c…873fbacked Yes0c275,507$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.521323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b1…1cf9backed Yes0c275,497$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.4950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x891d…d377backed Yes0c275,497$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.491136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdc…8e3dbacked Yes0c275,353$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.06812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c8…cae5backed Yes0c275,296$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.891030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828b…fa8abacked Yes0c275,296$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.89825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-62.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d5…3cf9backed Yes0c275,259$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f7…86d7backed Yes0c274,395$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.1960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0793…2655backed Yes0c273,122$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.371020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55de…2b4dbacked Yes0c273,068$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec5…3621backed Yes0c273,068$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb211…1163backed Yes0c273,068$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.2714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45fe…61b3backed Yes0c273,068$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.2837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbc…fa36backed Yes0c273,063$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.19825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-60.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d7…64b4backed Yes0c272,704$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.11728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid-27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…d4f5backed Yes0c271,267$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-81.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ec…3f76backed Yes0c271,205$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.6140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2948…9878backed Yes0c271,146$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.441050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf274…ee54backed Yes0c271,146$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid-29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d3…8c2bbacked Yes0c270,682$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.05933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…0ab3backed Yes0c270,477$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.4340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b4…8910backed Yes0c270,442$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.3350%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…4b0abacked Yes0c270,442$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.33933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b25…d485backed Yes0c270,407$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.2240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcdd…814dbacked Yes0c270,277$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-73.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fac…ae24backed Yes0c269,361$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.081118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x594f…fe9cbacked Yes0c269,361$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.08812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ac…e8a4backed Yes0c269,237$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.711050%5 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3f6…ac26backed Yes0c269,227$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.68922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-66.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0564…44d5backed Yes0c269,101$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.380%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x644b…85aebacked Yes0c269,101$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48bf…920ebacked Yes0c269,101$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ed…d8f6backed Yes0c269,086$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.26825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-57.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6679…cccabacked Yes0c269,086$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.26825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-60.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde38…9f2bbacked Yes0c269,035$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.1714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-81.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb727…355dbacked Yes0c269,035$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb531…8597backed Yes0c269,035$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…db2bbacked Yes0c269,003$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.011127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c41…916dbacked Yes0c269,003$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.011030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb981…1e35backed Yes0c269,003$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.01825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-59%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f4c…7aefbacked Yes0c269,003$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.0150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…b716backed Yes0c268,846$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.5460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98c…1227backed Yes0c268,809$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.4330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d1…ff78backed Yes0c268,723$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.17728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaac…cef8backed Yes0c268,723$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.1770%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf956…40eabacked Yes0c268,723$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-66%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.