NFL · resolved market
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb3cef6b7f43fcd35ce139e89c0b00cbc3a70a556c87ef934f8ca984208aaaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,167,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,601,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,167,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 21c | 696,658$146,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,743.61 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 17c | 155,512$26,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,479.03 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed No | 75c | 132,500$99,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,861 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Yes | 11c | 124,307$13,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,182.23 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…7855backed Yes | 25c | 121,606$30,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,036.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes | 7c | 108,012$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.97 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 11c | 106,949$12,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,080.13 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 21c | 84,861$18,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,030.36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 15c | 80,000$12,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,356.04 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…d2f9backed Yes | 20c | 76,302$15,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,367.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Yes | 23c | 71,740$16,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,185.19 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…f4d8backed No | 75c | 66,500$49,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,625 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aef…dc53backed Yes | 25c | 66,500$16,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…7756backed Yes | 25c | 66,000$16,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,236 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…7cabbacked Yes | 24c | 66,000$15,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cd…ea2abacked No | 75c | 66,000$49,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,236 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…2326backed No | 76c | 66,000$50,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 18c | 64,890$11,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,950.44 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 12c | 61,266$7,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,384.1 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…ea61backed Yes | 16c | 59,000$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 12c | 56,690$6,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,716.97 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c26…4f84backed Yes | 18c | 56,407$10,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,018.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…dfddbacked Yes | 24c | 53,363$13,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,035.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…7cbabacked Yes | 18c | 53,201$9,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,338.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba61…5b0abacked Yes | 18c | 49,728$8,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,716.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Yes | 23c | 47,380$10,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,687.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…cdfcbacked Yes | 12c | 46,600$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,611.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f86…26b8backed No | 79c | 46,596$36,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,822.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…d6eabacked Yes | 18c | 42,322$7,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,409.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 23c | 41,903$9,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,507.57 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Yes | 20c | 40,000$8,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,189.85 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed No | 77c | 39,665$30,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,059.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a8…92c6backed Yes | 7c | 38,528$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…6e56backed Yes | 18c | 36,324$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,472.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…0084backed Yes | 17c | 35,427$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 24c | 34,751$8,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,338.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbd…21d7backed Yes | 18c | 33,181$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,881.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 32,683$6,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,350.56 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…096cbacked Yes | 18c | 31,803$5,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ae3abacked Yes | 18c | 31,756$5,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,602.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Yes | 22c | 31,253$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…71dabacked Yes | 18c | 30,959$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 21c | 30,230$6,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.37 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Yes | 23c | 30,000$6,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,838.62 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f2…73b9backed Yes | 17c | 29,177$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…fccdbacked Yes | 17c | 29,140$5,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 7c | 28,659$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475d…6250backed Yes | 18c | 28,170$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…230dbacked Yes | 18c | 27,745$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…35eabacked Yes | 18c | 27,535$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…53c8backed Yes | 26c | 27,378$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…80cabacked Yes | 17c | 26,492$4,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,617.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…1494backed Yes | 18c | 25,457$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 17c | 25,039$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.42 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…901fbacked Yes | 20c | 24,313$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…eb45backed Yes | 6c | 24,190$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…11cdbacked Yes | 18c | 24,118$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 21c | 23,178$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.96 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 13c | 22,902$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.06 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…07bfbacked Yes | 20c | 22,872$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…65bbbacked Yes | 17c | 22,608$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 21,703$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359.36 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 21c | 21,694$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.51 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 80c | 21,060$16,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 6c | 20,750$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.85 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…ac29backed Yes | 16c | 20,570$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…7fa0backed Yes | 18c | 20,464$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 4c | 19,300$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.3 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…fcc0backed Yes | 6c | 19,023$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d6…16e6backed Yes | 6c | 18,985$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…edfebacked Yes | 6c | 18,980$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 19c | 18,548$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.87 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…7b9bbacked Yes | 12c | 18,490$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 19c | 18,005$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.49 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 17,445$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.35 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 19c | 17,154$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.21 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…8960backed Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…a20dbacked Yes | 6c | 16,667$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 18c | 15,239$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.08 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…20a7backed Yes | 18c | 15,048$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Yes | 24c | 15,000$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 20c | 14,727$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.72 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…b806backed Yes | 18c | 14,694$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Yes | 18c | 14,400$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…bfa9backed No | 78c | 14,110$10,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Yes | 24c | 13,266$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…c108backed Yes | 6c | 12,973$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…5e08backed Yes | 21c | 12,870$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 19c | 12,625$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.69 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…bbe0backed Yes | 17c | 12,558$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca59…1963backed Yes | 17c | 12,130$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da2…9758backed Yes | 26c | 11,724$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…2121backed Yes | 12c | 11,326$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…6333backed No | 78c | 11,015$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 6c | 11,006$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.35 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Yes | 14c | 10,978$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes | 19c | 10,331$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.81 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 15c | 10,086$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.19 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…c842backed Yes | 11c | 10,018$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.02 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.