NFL · resolved market
Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd280ef888530239f255b3efc0487a9f4d28039d24f50d8080a51a75927bc1a3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,672,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,639,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,672,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 963,647$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.13 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 317,817$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.78 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 240,600$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.25 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…e3a1backed Yes | 0c | 237,278$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…8293backed Yes | 3c | 149,840$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 139,000$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 1c | 116,997$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.46 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016d…689ebacked Yes | 1c | 116,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Yes | 2c | 104,911$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.41 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 3c | 100,911$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 3c | 88,437$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 3c | 58,930$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.26 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 4c | 55,523$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…dad8backed Yes | 1c | 31,667$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…1682backed Yes | 2c | 22,607$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 2c | 21,546$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.27 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 21,420$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.08 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…36d6backed Yes | 3c | 20,137$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…4a26backed Yes | 5c | 19,799$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.9 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,719$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb71…c0e2backed Yes | 3c | 19,609$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d6f8backed Yes | 3c | 19,278$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa437…274ebacked Yes | 1c | 19,231$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 15,962$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d3…f341backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…76dcbacked Yes | 1c | 13,622$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 13,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 2c | 11,735$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.05 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…5eacbacked Yes | 6c | 11,587$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0e…41aebacked Yes | 5c | 10,656$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 3c | 9,933$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.12 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…6676backed Yes | 1c | 9,329$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…553abacked Yes | 1c | 9,329$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…56d6backed Yes | 1c | 8,717$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 1c | 8,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 2c | 7,602$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…1031backed Yes | 3c | 7,575$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…2121backed Yes | 3c | 7,400$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Yes | 2c | 6,875$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 2c | 6,136$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed Yes | 5c | 5,100$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 1c | 5,031$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 2c | 5,002$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…5824backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349f…305ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,738$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…39b9backed Yes | 3c | 3,622$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…7c12backed Yes | 1c | 3,494$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…e46ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,422$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…620ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,399$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…45dbbacked Yes | 0c | 3,366$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…a79fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +693.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…6a63backed Yes | 2c | 3,166$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…c167backed Yes | 2c | 3,166$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…8561backed Yes | 3c | 3,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…2744backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,958$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade4…ec2dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 2,525$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…d5d2backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…76cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…712fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,365$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…60d8backed Yes | 2c | 2,273$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…48d8backed Yes | 1c | 2,267$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 3c | 2,127$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…bdf7backed Yes | 2c | 2,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadc8…918ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,002$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…1ccebacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…f59cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,992$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,909$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…0cf8backed Yes | 3c | 1,853$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…3129backed Yes | 1c | 1,749$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…d087backed Yes | 1c | 1,660$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,657$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…0ee4backed Yes | 1c | 1,614$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cc…0b59backed Yes | 1c | 1,571$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…ccfbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e41…cf4dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,336$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,259$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…0b7bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…83c0backed Yes | 3c | 1,206$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…97e9backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…5007backed Yes | 2c | 1,038$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ac…939cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,034$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…1915backed Yes | 3c | 1,027$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…a78abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +589.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…fd65backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2786…7b3fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 3c | 999$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…9391backed Yes | 3c | 931.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…062fbacked Yes | 2c | 895.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…d3f6backed Yes | 3c | 851.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.