TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,257,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,147,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,257,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec86…1117backed Yes0c1,630,471$4,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.4130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c1,619,013$4,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,857.04180%0 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…0695backed Yes0c1,568,276$4,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,704.8330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c4…ece8backed Yes0c1,507,921$4,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,523.7630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3495…1075backed Yes0c1,492,227$4,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,476.6830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb8…0ba5backed Yes0c1,366,574$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553a…6144backed Yes0c1,301,327$3,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.9840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea40…eb06backed Yes0c1,214,196$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.5950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…0ab3backed Yes0c1,114,670$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.0140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x600f…3687backed Yes0c1,096,982$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.9530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc078…8361backed Yes0c1,046,777$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.3340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Yes0c994,052$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.163351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c9…fb20backed Yes0c918,524$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.5740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6f…dc09backed Yes0c906,545$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.6450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe717…f03bbacked Yes0c890,332$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,67140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1880…5f26backed Yes0c847,963$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.89825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-55.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c780,045$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.586541.5%27 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x680e…9fdbbacked Yes0c775,754$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.2660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a3…b63cbacked Yes0c775,700$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c610,485$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.221769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d5…9f5abacked Yes0c599,449$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.35742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b0…a4d8backed Yes0c518,506$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.5260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df2…0210backed Yes0c508,912$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.7430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e5…d55bbacked Yes0c480,315$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.9440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a9…9d14backed Yes0c464,072$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.2150%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…d7f4backed Yes0c454,192$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.5870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…c87ebacked Yes0c434,835$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.51633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fd…d22fbacked Yes0c434,835$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.5160%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8744…867bbacked Yes0c414,681$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.041241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb23e…9c13backed Yes0c414,072$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.21922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-68.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6676…5f4abacked Yes0c410,521$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.5650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6a…2605backed Yes0c408,072$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.22728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-55.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe822…84bdbacked Yes0c405,718$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.15812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c09…65f5backed Yes0c404,028$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.0830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…e92cbacked Yes0c403,725$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.17825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ca…ec75backed Yes0c403,592$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c1…86a2backed Yes0c403,369$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.111127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f0…c92bbacked Yes0c395,641$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.92728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c60…9a2abacked Yes0c394,202$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.6160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c4…2e45backed Yes0c394,002$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x306e…e925backed Yes0c387,316$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.9560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfe…757fbacked Yes0c355,578$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.73911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-82.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd954…0b97backed Yes0c355,368$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9454…4114backed Yes0c348,608$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.4760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd4…0957backed Yes0c339,410$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.2360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes1c334,891$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.149240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ce…5d60backed Yes0c321,466$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c20…e896backed Yes0c320,329$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.9960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c308,533$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.333930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd47b…936fbacked Yes0c308,513$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd889…7ddbbacked Yes0c305,961$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.8850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b6…2adabacked Yes0c305,090$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.2750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes0c253,970$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.914330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…e52fbacked Yes0c253,666$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4a…b3eebacked Yes0c253,127$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.3850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb65…ec9abacked Yes0c250,250$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.7540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c6…1335backed Yes0c235,092$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.28616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…0949backed Yes0c235,092$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.2840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…aa3fbacked Yes0c235,092$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.2840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1765…238dbacked Yes0c234,916$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.7540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff21…9700backed Yes0c234,503$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.5140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe61e…06d1backed Yes0c234,503$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.5140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe421…d16ebacked Yes0c234,351$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.05714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24e…3100backed Yes0c234,345$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.0340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc64…25c5backed Yes0c234,266$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ecf…0712backed Yes0c234,226$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.6840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc623…fb86backed Yes0c234,226$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.6840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28d1…a1adbacked Yes0c234,226$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.6840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c8…9dd2backed Yes0c233,896$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.6940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8646…dc53backed Yes0c233,888$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.6650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b14…e9e0backed Yes0c233,842$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.531330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfac…43b4backed Yes0c233,842$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5370%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3115…75d7backed Yes0c233,842$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.53825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9336…2c4bbacked Yes0c233,842$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe553…eadabacked Yes0c233,842$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6768…16adbacked Yes0c233,842$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded4…d9e7backed Yes0c233,289$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.87911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-69.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5aa…c9fabacked Yes0c233,289$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b0…aefebacked Yes0c233,289$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d41…ec92backed Yes0c233,277$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a42…75f0backed Yes0c233,277$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811a…d5eebacked Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.821833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf07…a373backed Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.821533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f76…c09abacked Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.821010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-83.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49dc…5295backed Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa738…a08abacked Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a5…cdd3backed Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.82616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid-58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…545dbacked Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d38…36e5backed Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.82825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d2…7531backed Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb703…98b9backed Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a60…b270backed Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe862…7c6cbacked Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c19…06a7backed Yes0c233,274$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.82714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502f…7f87backed Yes0c233,255$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x404c…95b8backed Yes0c233,255$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.77616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid-65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7623…7b68backed Yes0c233,132$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616a…6705backed Yes0c233,132$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d9…c048backed Yes0c233,132$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.41030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0b…4a13backed Yes0c233,132$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.