NFL · resolved market

Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb52004d81a0458910b98afbab213f85e488d0046a2241ab5e70c7b3aa2dee23

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,862,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,858,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,862,285 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1f63…c7b4backed Yes	5c	619,086$30,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,948.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x579f…8126backed Yes	5c	603,363$30,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,073.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	18c	486,761$87,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87,938.58	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…1d0abacked Yes	28c	392,000$108,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108,546.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+322.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad3e…4422backed Yes	14c	150,699$20,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,799.83	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Yes	10c	141,110$14,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,103.11	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes	5c	115,943$6,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,064.48	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes	8c	104,135$8,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,575.86	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f44…3ae9backed Yes	23c	99,650$22,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,735.07	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes	9c	98,301$9,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,244.44	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	14c	92,250$12,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,704.27	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	18c	80,644$14,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,815.91	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…53c8backed Yes	27c	72,352$19,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,495.51	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	9c	67,447$5,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,784.74	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	14c	60,000$8,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,463.42	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb005…92e1backed Yes	19c	60,000$11,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,460	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes	17c	59,285$9,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,895.51	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7b…7050backed Yes	14c	58,000$8,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,178	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb37e…eb78backed Yes	14c	58,000$8,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,178	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab6…2a2bbacked Yes	14c	58,000$8,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,294	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes	7c	53,986$3,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,887	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-94.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Yes	12c	50,000$5,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,800	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5e…8803backed Yes	5c	40,944$1,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked Yes	5c	39,641$1,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,911.07	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Yes	4c	35,690$1,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,573.98	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	26cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Yes	10c	33,143$3,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,232.5	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Yes	15c	32,406$4,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,741.83	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4feb…dd3bbacked Yes	29c	31,745$9,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,071.82	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda7…2000backed Yes	15c	30,999$4,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,695.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes	7c	28,274$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980.19	256	43.8%112 W · 144 L	+14.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc07…5e08backed Yes	14c	28,125$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8493…5366backed Yes	5c	27,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes	19c	25,911$4,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,991.1	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b76…0fe3backed Yes	5c	25,532$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	29c	24,510$7,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,068.1	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-65%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes	6c	23,999$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.35	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes	9c	22,000$1,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,881.29	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Yes	16c	21,858$3,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,591.71	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	15c	20,600$3,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,084.1	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	15c	20,513$3,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,014.05	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd18f…681ebacked Yes	5c	20,397$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	22cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes	15c	20,078$3,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,016.25	125	70.4%88 W · 37 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	25c	20,020$5,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,062.71	221	42.1%93 W · 128 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090b…855fbacked Yes	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3924…8960backed Yes	5c	20,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes	27c	19,132$5,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,227.96	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce1…e104backed Yes	16c	18,788$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes	14c	18,060$2,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550.91	101	4%4 W · 97 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-87.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2516…f107backed Yes	6c	17,890$1,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.19	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed7c…da06backed Yes	18c	17,458$3,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,072.3	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf15f…40e0backed Yes	14c	16,721$2,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,348.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	13c	16,248$2,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,119.25	528	28.6%151 W · 377 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes	5c	16,225$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.07	50	36%18 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…5c54backed Yes	5c	16,077$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60a4…807dbacked Yes	13c	16,048$2,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,086.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes	19c	16,002$3,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,101	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1991…3580backed Yes	5c	16,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	18c	15,381$2,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,756.22	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	13c	15,152$2,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,017.78	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe058…0bc3backed Yes	14c	14,877$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.7	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	13c	14,786$1,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.04	217	13.8%30 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes	15c	14,687$2,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,198.73	234	47.9%112 W · 122 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e28…cfafbacked Yes	5c	14,502$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…9391backed Yes	5c	14,450$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf5…ab69backed Yes	5c	14,440$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12c0…ba3bbacked Yes	5c	14,440$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Yes	19c	12,654$2,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,410.93	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	5c	12,629$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.12	46	4.3%2 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Yes	28c	12,555$3,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,499	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578c…9661backed Yes	13c	11,571$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,555	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed2…8e93backed Yes	13c	11,428$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.08	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	13c	11,380$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.58	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes	4c	11,124$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes	0c	10,882$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.88	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa845…2307backed Yes	19c	10,725$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Yes	5c	10,291$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.71	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x941b…d05abacked Yes	28c	10,159$2,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,831.05	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fe…e320backed Yes	28c	10,000$2,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,784.79	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc1…9c0fbacked Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	27c	9,895$2,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,693.64	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	15c	9,794$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,504.27	150	8%12 W · 138 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-74%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	17c	9,693$1,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,629.95	196	9.2%18 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6be…e346backed Yes	15c	9,580$1,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,403.64	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c91…9af7backed Yes	13c	9,500$1,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.95	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa472…45aebacked Yes	11c	9,401$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.68	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a12…dfa3backed Yes	14c	8,783$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.57	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9c…e78fbacked Yes	9c	7,604$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb2…dfddbacked Yes	13c	7,582$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47db…fcf2backed Yes	28c	7,500$2,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,107.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…38b4backed Yes	9c	7,406$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0078…c9cdbacked Yes	12c	7,358$851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.62	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6034…7977backed Yes	5c	6,833$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	6cpaid	+128.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Yes	14c	6,665$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.87	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes	6c	6,595$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.97	87	29.9%26 W · 61 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Yes	15c	6,536$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…2284backed Yes	8c	6,494$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e3…22d5backed Yes	15c	6,383$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.63	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3341…d6f8backed Yes	5c	6,383$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d1…3281backed Yes	8c	6,351$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?this page
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event