NFL · resolved market
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde00758fcf1165cfce32dc4f85f021e71da12e40c4b9140117c9beddd090776d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,651,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,366,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,651,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 3,520,399$43,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,429.17 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 489,144$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.83 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 352,200$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.95 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 1c | 235,803$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 2c | 214,951$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.31 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Yes | 2c | 197,667$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 2c | 166,273$3,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 164,281$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.48 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 1c | 160,786$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.35 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 1c | 135,334$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.72 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 119,502$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.04 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 2c | 118,753$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.01 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 106,052$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.67 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 3c | 90,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 1c | 84,565$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.82 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 82,492$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.45 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…eb45backed Yes | 2c | 82,040$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…2121backed Yes | 3c | 77,494$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 71,505$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.64 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 3c | 67,746$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.32 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 1c | 66,688$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes | 2c | 63,986$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…78cabacked Yes | 1c | 62,750$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…007fbacked Yes | 1c | 58,829$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Yes | 1c | 58,397$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 56,500$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…5e08backed Yes | 5c | 54,340$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 53,534$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…9548backed Yes | 1c | 52,161$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…7173backed Yes | 1c | 52,105$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…d852backed Yes | 1c | 51,799$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…0370backed Yes | 1c | 51,493$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…bf45backed Yes | 1c | 51,404$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9347backed Yes | 1c | 51,079$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…a128backed Yes | 1c | 51,036$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…5bafbacked Yes | 1c | 50,954$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…f218backed Yes | 1c | 50,673$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca0…f19bbacked Yes | 1c | 50,284$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…4012backed Yes | 1c | 49,966$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c676backed Yes | 1c | 49,411$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 49,344$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.27 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…8f98backed Yes | 1c | 49,264$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…0386backed Yes | 1c | 48,936$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…010dbacked Yes | 1c | 48,421$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7d…642fbacked Yes | 1c | 48,309$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…2ff5backed Yes | 1c | 47,969$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faa…e551backed Yes | 1c | 47,918$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…f1efbacked Yes | 1c | 47,482$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…4312backed Yes | 1c | 47,318$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…c477backed Yes | 1c | 46,772$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…9c64backed Yes | 3c | 46,291$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…a432backed Yes | 1c | 46,216$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e3…c981backed Yes | 1c | 46,193$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c7…f1c1backed Yes | 1c | 45,841$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c13…4639backed Yes | 1c | 45,539$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…f26ebacked Yes | 1c | 45,488$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…600cbacked Yes | 1c | 45,346$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…0f32backed Yes | 1c | 45,303$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f2…c739backed Yes | 1c | 44,578$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 2c | 44,575$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.3 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30c…d894backed Yes | 1c | 44,356$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe869…fc0ebacked Yes | 1c | 33,662$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f00…4c7dbacked Yes | 2c | 33,147$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Yes | 0c | 31,939$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 30,331$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.88 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 3c | 28,644$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Yes | 2c | 28,507$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.62 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 27,987$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.66 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 1c | 27,500$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…fd31backed Yes | 2c | 25,374$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…2b87backed Yes | 2c | 25,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…adecbacked Yes | 2c | 25,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26c…27eebacked Yes | 1c | 24,927$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…18a3backed Yes | 2c | 24,658$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…e341backed Yes | 1c | 22,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…99eabacked Yes | 1c | 22,259$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…be6bbacked Yes | 3c | 22,255$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…134cbacked Yes | 2c | 21,875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fa…bb11backed Yes | 2c | 21,875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd250…2f65backed Yes | 1c | 21,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…a1bcbacked Yes | 5c | 20,305$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 5c | 19,706$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…7d7abacked Yes | 2c | 19,066$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1b7bbacked Yes | 2c | 19,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd196…d262backed Yes | 2c | 18,828$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…6c56backed Yes | 2c | 18,661$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…1795backed Yes | 2c | 18,627$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Yes | 3c | 18,476$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc477…75bbbacked Yes | 2c | 18,176$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…7265backed Yes | 2c | 17,816$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…f978backed Yes | 1c | 17,800$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…995abacked Yes | 2c | 17,658$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…73f6backed Yes | 2c | 17,621$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…ccb2backed Yes | 2c | 17,588$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275a…1faabacked Yes | 2c | 17,567$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00e…85f0backed Yes | 2c | 17,375$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.