TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06a2…0acb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
444
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST28433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 284 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$163
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.14
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+8,479%+$69,448.56
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$211
Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.86
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$107.72
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+3,688.3%+$4,596.62
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$130.79
Will NE/SEA win their 2026 NFL Conference Championship games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+194.1%+$26
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.94
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+316.7%+$75.98
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$567.43
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,307.43
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80.04
Showing 25 of 284 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST6924.6%17 W · 52 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$76
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utahbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washingtonbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Virginia Tech vs. Florida Statebacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Colorado State vs. New Mexicobacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Oregon State vs. Tulsabacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$54
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Texas A&M (-18.5)backed South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Stanford vs. North Carolinabacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Colorado vs. West Virginiabacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.16
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.48
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.97
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)backed McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.44
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.6
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$60.5
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Gonzaga win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.61
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$127.99
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+194.5%+$69.35
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Drake vs. Missouribacked Drake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
Yale vs. Texas A&Mbacked Yale · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 22 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$216.96
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$77
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.21
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.55
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.91
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$129
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$472.98
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$313
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.53
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+401.2%+$200.12
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.4
Will Tyrese Haliburton score 21+ points against the Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$77
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$77
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$86.66
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$224.31
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+164.5%+$79.83
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$59
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$86
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+204.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$289.98
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+49.3%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.