Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08c1cf086469367ec0abc0d3a358de235a1ce46fcf93cf4881fa05ce145dac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auburn Tigersof Seattle Redhawks, Auburn Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,499 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Seattle Redhawks | 8c | 122,927$9,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980.68 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Seattle Redhawks | 9c | 15,464$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.44 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Seattle Redhawks | 0c | 15,017$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136f…b1afbacked Seattle Redhawks | 0c | 6,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 5,001$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.11 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Seattle Redhawks | 10c | 3,807$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.39 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…bbe6backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 2,664$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.82 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 10c | 2,345$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Seattle Redhawks | 5c | 1,921$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…f3f3backed Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 1,736$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 1,247$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 1,100$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…3998backed Seattle Redhawks | 5c | 1,098$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Redhawks | 10c | 1,001$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…d932backed Seattle Redhawks | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1d32backed Seattle Redhawks | 5c | 907.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 880.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Redhawks | 9c | 707.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 627.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 567.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 505.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 415.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…e044backed Seattle Redhawks | 7c | 278.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 9c | 274$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…514abacked Seattle Redhawks | 5c | 259.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…22c4backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 212.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 207.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 199.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Redhawks | 6c | 191.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…ab08backed Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 181.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef02…5ebdbacked Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 167.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Seattle Redhawks | 10c | 166.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 166.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Seattle Redhawks | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 99.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 99.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…f6a5backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 99.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Seattle Redhawks | 11c | 95.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Seattle Redhawks | 12c | 91.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigersthis page
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-12.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-13.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-14.5)Seattle Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.