Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ce34689297e6b568aec6aa6117fefd1e4ab8823d02b855e3095d0bf3aa78cb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,118 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 26,442$13,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,373.49 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 9,980$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 7,344$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 4,071$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.35 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 2,446$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.77 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 39c | 2,273$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.27 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 1,505$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 1,379$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 37c | 1,239$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.7 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 35c | 708.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…3913backed Under | 43c | 695.33$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 10c | 346.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Over | 49c | 303.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +81%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 37c | 214.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Under | 42c | 200.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 50c | 196.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 51c | 186.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 50c | 184.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 155.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 32c | 155.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Over | 49c | 151.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 43c | 146.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 42c | 131.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 70c | 106.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 49c | 100.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 80.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Over | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 78.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 48c | 76.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 49c | 69.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 69.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 50c | 64.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Over | 49c | 49.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Over | 51c | 48.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 62c | 47.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 43c | 46.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 39c | 46.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 49c | 40.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…d0debacked Under | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 35.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 34.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 43c | 30.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 39c | 27.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under | 42c | 25.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 52c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 59c | 20.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 59c | 17.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 146.5this page
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn TigersAuburn Tigers won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-12.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-13.5)Seattle Redhawks won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-14.5)Seattle Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.