TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x522d…3913

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.44
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$45.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+109%+$108.96
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$277.97
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$396.09
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61%+$377.7
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.87
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$138.29
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.61
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (W)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$41.78
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-13.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$44.62
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$206.68
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$109.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$151.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31%+$117.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$399
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.