South American Leagues · resolved market
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4ebe67cc1a81c0d9752f4a651f5a2f276396de924616ad7ceee44090fa3a575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 36c | 4,547$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.21 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 4,212$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.83 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 39c | 3,420$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.89 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 60c | 3,300$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 2,766$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 2,504$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.18 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,483$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.27 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Over | 70c | 1,057$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 913.51$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.66 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 36c | 603.11$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.07 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 478.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 391.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.91 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 64c | 387$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 44c | 338$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 40c | 257.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…3913backed Over | 75c | 207.01$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 68c | 205.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 63c | 198$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 65c | 172.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 132$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 63c | 125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 91.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 35c | 68.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Over | 34c | 65.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 41c | 60.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1184backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed Under | 62c | 46.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…a65bbacked Over | 55c | 35.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 37c | 31.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 65c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…5174backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 65c | 20.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5112…eae6backed Under | 57c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5this page
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5Over won
- Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)Montevideo City Torque won
- Spread: Montevideo City Torque (-1.5)Montevideo City Torque won
- Spread: Montevideo City Torque (-2.5)Montevideo City Torque won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.