TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1065…6218backed No56c3,759$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.14254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes44c2,660$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.931,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes47c1,266$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.6199259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c1,076$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes47c1,055$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.252,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No52c1,023$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.743,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked No9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked No9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No9c900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes50c590$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2959148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No50c585$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.51,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c243.4$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.871,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No18c132$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.366315.9%10 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Yes45c111.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8115247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a5…bac4backed No38c109.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.697841%32 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.122,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No56c19.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.871,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes60c17.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.