Europa Conference League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d2d67495f14524f824804bebffd0b0100bb99511fb33b543d251c7bd0e9ea40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 77,635$37,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,418.72 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Over | 52c | 75,391$39,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,399.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 14,820$7,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,656.6 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over | 68c | 14,631$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 34c | 12,194$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 10,924$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.81 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…944bbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Over | 68c | 9,336$6,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,348.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 60c | 8,000$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 34c | 7,353$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 7,189$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.84 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 6,186$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 38c | 5,935$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.69 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 11c | 4,526$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.92 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Over | 3c | 4,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 53c | 4,152$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.51 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Over | 61c | 4,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 18c | 3,962$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 3,759$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.46 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 17c | 3,617$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 39c | 3,475$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.28 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Over | 4c | 3,103$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 34c | 3,051$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 32c | 3,049$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.89 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 48c | 3,044$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Over | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Over | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Over | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Over | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 30c | 2,671$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.74 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under | 40c | 2,513$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 59c | 2,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Over | 66c | 2,472$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 35c | 2,393$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.36 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 4c | 2,096$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 2,088$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.34 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 30c | 2,079$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.99 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Over | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.97 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Over | 51c | 1,980$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 60c | 1,674$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.11 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a29bbacked Over | 9c | 1,598$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 50c | 1,552$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.69 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 64c | 1,500$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.99 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Under | 66c | 1,498$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.22 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 38c | 1,311$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 45c | 1,274$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.41 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 42c | 1,200$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…de94backed Over | 39c | 1,104$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 45c | 1,067$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 1,037$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.38 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 68c | 1,035$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…e73fbacked Over | 71c | 1,031$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Under | 73c | 1,007$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…708cbacked Over | 59c | 976.27$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked Under | 32c | 928.83$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 33c | 910.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Over | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 3c | 875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…17fcbacked Over | 68c | 838.24$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 65c | 834.18$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 68c | 831.99$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 41c | 815.12$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 67c | 746.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 51c | 737$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.37 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 34c | 731.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Over | 71c | 710$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 48c | 638.97$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 32c | 599.95$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.69 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 45c | 594.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.21 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +305.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 549.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over | 71c | 542.25$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Under | 63c | 535.69$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 63c | 526.86$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 522.23$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.08 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…61aebacked Over | 71c | 515.46$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 15c | 515.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 45c | 488.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 32c | 477.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.02 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 456.13$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 11c | 452.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 65c | 427.68$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.