Europa Conference League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedffe9064bebcdb4e2631239b08db5ad1e6a9ed71a8620ed61b5250e46daa876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 57c | 135,649$77,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,359.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,000 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Under | 60c | 96,849$58,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,739.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 40c | 80,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,999.94 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 57c | 50,000$28,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,399.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 42c | 31,261$13,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,069.69 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 41c | 11,065$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 9,999$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.86 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 32c | 6,407$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 5,366$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 12c | 4,028$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 44c | 3,682$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.12 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 44c | 3,682$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.12 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 3,317$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.21 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 2,751$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.45 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 40c | 2,719$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 2,403$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.23 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 41c | 2,361$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.08 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 72c | 2,233$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 60c | 1,937$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.14 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 13c | 1,884$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Over | 27c | 1,855$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 1,773$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.31 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 41c | 1,752$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.41 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 1,674$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.29 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 61c | 1,584$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 41c | 1,532$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Over | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 1,411$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 14c | 1,400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 20cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 27c | 1,295$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 42c | 1,232$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.14 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 66c | 1,187$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 41c | 1,088$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.07 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 41c | 1,084$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.01 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 44c | 1,074$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 24c | 1,025$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…53a8backed Over | 30c | 1,008$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a1…9b15backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 916.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 41c | 833.37$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 41c | 827.88$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 59c | 796.61$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 18c | 739.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 13c | 738.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 43c | 735.22$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.45 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 43c | 712.53$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef3…6c6abacked Under | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 44c | 651.23$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 54c | 644.96$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.13 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Over | 16c | 605.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 59c | 599.97$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 59c | 565.71$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 7c | 541.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 38c | 514.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 43c | 497.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 59c | 495.4$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.11 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 41c | 493$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Over | 27c | 484.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 482.04$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.73 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over | 41c | 477.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Over | 41c | 477.68$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Over | 41c | 435.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over | 41c | 426.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Over | 21c | 425.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 403$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Over | 25c | 399.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 44c | 379.2$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 42c | 364.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 73c | 340.36$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…714abacked Over | 41c | 337.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.