TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under17c52,519$8,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9453,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x780a…84f0backed Over74c51,458$37,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,463.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under30c16,640$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,992.081,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under15c10,203$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.5956849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under30c9,998$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under1c5,180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under24c3,360$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.712528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over79c3,310$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.12085%17 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda2b…9adcbacked Under10c3,114$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over70c2,867$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Under32c2,044$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb258…0d2bbacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b79…2a1cbacked Over69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6202100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under9c1,998$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1738144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Under11c1,796$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under10c1,580$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15855545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over70c1,421$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.892860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under15c1,035$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.562611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Over70c1,004$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Under25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over69c971.01$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.01757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Under11c956.18$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under13c888$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.356136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Over70c879.73$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.23333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under12c834$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under10c830$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-84.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under10c658.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.835740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcd…b8dbbacked Under10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under10c438.6$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.862030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under25c432.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.82040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Under11c428.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over70c340.41$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa10…8ee9backed Over69c333.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf32…6cf3backed Under11c320.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under6c274.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.570%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under31c272.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.452334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac52…b882backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over68c268.03$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.772638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under10c259.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+75.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6152…7986backed Under10c229.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under10c223.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under9c223.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.099451.1%48 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under8c217.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x68a2…7460backed Under9c188.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under8c182.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a3…25e7backed Under9c173.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f26…8984backed Over70c149.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+142.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under31c145.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.24130%0 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under15c139.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under24c129.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.227268.1%49 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf1c…ec86backed Under12c126.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82d…7882backed Under10c125$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Over75c119.03$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.761573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.076956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…e71dbacked Under17c105.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over71c102.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…e2c0backed Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102568%17 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over67c99.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.999255.4%51 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over69c95.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked Under18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under30c83.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.967848.7%38 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over77c78.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.014654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…75f0backed Under32c78.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb885…e677backed Over77c64.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Under30c63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+354.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204751.1%24 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under17c59.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under31c41.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c5…6483backed Over74c34.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd88…2871backed Under32c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over69c28.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.837152.1%37 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Over76c23.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0614…ff8bbacked Over67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+105.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dcf…2075backed Over75c22.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a8…8a98backed Over72c20.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Over69c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.