TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8a3…25e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.08
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.01
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$66.21
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$12.45
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$18.07
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$41.09
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+62%+$29.25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+150.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$11.14
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$35.4
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+91.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Kashima Antlers leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$13.97
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.