MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe23575bf3f0b6624bebe2d57c03f788183a75da524fc81b5e5972377f954ed26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.93 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 30,246$14,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,518.08 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 14,804$6,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,606.82 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 10,588$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 9,863$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 8,999$4,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.89 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 8,762$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.34 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 8,756$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.36 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed San Francisco Giants | 0c | 8,178$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 6,353$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.24 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 4,747$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.82 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 4,380$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,941$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.44 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,866$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.58 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 3,083$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.83 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 3,026$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,540$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 2,040$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.78 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 2,000$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.43 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.67 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,346$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.87 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,055$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,033$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.98 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,009$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.19 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 831.98$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.63 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 805.14$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.62 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 800$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 750.19$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.95 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 727.06$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.26 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 15c | 722.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 720.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.24 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 602.07$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.58 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 572$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 570$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 560.39$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.25 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 560.38$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 542.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.43 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 507.45$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.3 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 505.4$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed San Francisco Giants | 72c | 416.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 400.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 380.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.38 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 372.5$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 363.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 343.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 331.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 300.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…c65abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 272.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 260.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 203.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…391fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 188$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 183.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 180.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 73c | 177.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 152.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 151$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 149.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 148.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 138.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 137.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 133.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a3…25e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 121.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 109$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 100.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked San Francisco Giants | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 95.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 93.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.