MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d46eeb0a5095c8b4d2aeef967da3e8291a1a46484237b2fad8c17e9d6feda80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof San Francisco Giants, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,056,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,095,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,056,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 200,000$62,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,000 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 180,000$124,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,799.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 153,843$105,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,356.15 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 134,735$32,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,198.57 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 90,000$27,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,900 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 83,856$58,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,574.43 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 75,173$22,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,551.81 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 30c | 68,286$20,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,289.92 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 26,930$18,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,996.29 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 25,806$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 18,810$12,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,830.99 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 18,571$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 15,951$11,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…a58dbacked San Francisco Giants | 30c | 12,785$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 11,488$7,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.86 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 11,166$8,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.89 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 10,885$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.36 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 10,864$7,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 10,827$7,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 10,450$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.87 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 8,412$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 7,398$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.91 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 5,583$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.73 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 5,532$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.23 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 4,979$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.74 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 4,963$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 13c | 3,952$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 3,908$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.28 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 3,800$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 3,800$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 5c | 3,668$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 3,400$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 3,111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 2,996$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.53 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 2,875$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.56 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 2,741$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 2,426$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 2,419$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked San Francisco Giants | 9c | 2,300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 2,150$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.44 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 2,093$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.83 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 1,979$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.73 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,957$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.52 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,800$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 1,705$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.69 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,650$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.32 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,550$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.45 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 1,513$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.9 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,499$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.82 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,384$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.91 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…160bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,381$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.31 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2b…9030backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,364$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 7c | 1,337$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked San Francisco Giants | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 1,233$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,157$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2f…31aebacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 1,074$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…e9fabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 1,059$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 1,029$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked San Francisco Giants | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 999.99$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.31 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked San Francisco Giants | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed San Francisco Giants | 8c | 999.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…cdd5backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 958.35$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 899.94$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 861.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…94febacked San Francisco Giants | 31c | 804.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…984ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 799.97$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…db18backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 750.1$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed San Francisco Giants | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 745$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.95 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Francisco Giants | 12c | 735.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…c1efbacked San Francisco Giants | 8c | 727.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 714$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 710.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 689.06$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…64f3backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 575.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 553.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Francisco Giants | 33c | 550.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.