MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b25bf2605bba4ab85b02961c5e847c3131be2c3948695307841c7b66fa1cdd9

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $75,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $77,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,159 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under	55c	20,123$11,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,066.41	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	172	48.3%83 W · 89 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over	45c	16,926$7,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,309.3	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	50c	7,860$3,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,917.42	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under	53c	3,300$1,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	3,276$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,551.89	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over	47c	3,032$1,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,606.8	323	51.7%167 W · 156 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	55c	2,602$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.1	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under	6c	2,400$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060	241	50.6%122 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	1,078	48.1%518 W · 560 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	45c	1,969$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,075.79	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	55c	1,780$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979	1,922	53.4%1,027 W · 895 L	+28.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	50c	1,600$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.06	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	52c	1,500$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.97	454	51.3%233 W · 221 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over	45c	1,282$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.48	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	27c	1,200$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.99	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	1,193$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.51	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	73c	1,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.33	3,219	51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L	+148.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under	56c	892.86$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Over	66c	701.54$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.54	309	63.1%195 W · 114 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	53c	661$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.33	274	49.3%135 W · 139 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	55c	491.15$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.35	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over	57c	479.04$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.99	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	52c	459.05$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.71	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	48c	445.26$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.53	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over	45c	422.87$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.58	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	46c	366.05$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.43	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over	51c	361.46$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.92	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	73c	268.49$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.99	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	40c	226.81$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.02	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	639	43.3%277 W · 362 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	73c	196.23$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.25	1,218	55.6%677 W · 541 L	+94.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under	72c	196.22$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.28	98	51%50 W · 48 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under	56c	192.86$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	49c	187.29$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.67	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under	71c	171.88$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.03	211	49.3%104 W · 107 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	39c	165.96$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.3	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under	55c	160.42$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.23	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over	47c	159.57$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.57	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	55c	150$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	44c	147.98$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.87	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over	45c	132.18$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.7	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	38c	125.56$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.48	5,812	43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L	-188.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	53c	121.68$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.03	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	55c	100.1$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.06	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	999	47.5%475 W · 524 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	785	50.2%394 W · 391 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over	47c	96$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.88	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	48c	92.1$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.21	904	46.9%424 W · 480 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	47c	83$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.99	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	143	53.1%76 W · 67 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Under	50c	78.54$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	177	52.5%93 W · 84 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under	75c	66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	158	48.7%77 W · 81 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	54c	55.19$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	396	53.5%212 W · 184 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	572	44.6%255 W · 317 L	-35.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Under	50c	49.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	99	51.5%51 W · 48 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	46c	45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.12	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…581bbacked Under	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	47c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.09	2,995	47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L	+12.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1952…dbf9backed Over	51c	38.83$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.03	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e4…5583backed Under	50c	37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under	46c	34.53$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.81	1,014	47.7%484 W · 530 L	-28.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over	46c	33.11$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.99	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	46c	32.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.61	313	43.5%136 W · 177 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over	47c	32.04$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.06	264	38.3%101 W · 163 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Under	53c	30.19$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6664…5b75backed Under	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under	52c	26.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	1,149	48.9%562 W · 587 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	46c	26.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	319	63%201 W · 118 L	+27.5wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	46c	22.92$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.43	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f0…6920backed Over	70c	21.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	50c	21.42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	634	54.3%344 W · 290 L	+24.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	2,546	45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L	-74.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcc…5c8fbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3734…c1c8backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	75c	15.2$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.8	3,460	51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L	+107.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event