MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0696aa9c3375758bdf7c0a76d5900d7f16d87b85679b0066c3fd6e9ec3d8d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof New York Mets, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $833,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $919,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $833,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 62c | 123,239$76,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,999.81 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 32,667$18,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,756.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 32,435$12,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,882.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 30,285$15,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,451.49 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 30,236$16,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,609.9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 38c | 27,426$10,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,519.21 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 26,068$15,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,687.8 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 25,925$14,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,655.36 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 24,463$12,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,785.45 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 46c | 17,153$7,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,915.4 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed New York Mets | 45c | 17,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed New York Mets | 43c | 16,000$6,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,869.95 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 15,835$8,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,176.63 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets | 42c | 14,655$6,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,083.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 14,000$8,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 13,224$7,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 46c | 12,835$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.03 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 10,363$5,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 10,127$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.57 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…5f5bbacked New York Mets | 0c | 10,033$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed New York Mets | 40c | 9,202$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.76 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked New York Mets | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed New York Mets | 69c | 7,246$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 7,027$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.79 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked New York Mets | 47c | 6,480$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Mets | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 5,782$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 48c | 5,239$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked New York Mets | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.97 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 41c | 4,811$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.58 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 46c | 4,797$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.62 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed New York Mets | 44c | 4,498$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.15 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked New York Mets | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 3,871$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.35 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Seattle Mariners | 72c | 3,790$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.04 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 3,621$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.42 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 45c | 3,525$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,472$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.47 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 33c | 3,398$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.23 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,181$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.67 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,031$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.3 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…ce46backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,897$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…08e1backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,865$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,742$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.47 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,703$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.54 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 2,628$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.73 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed New York Mets | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed New York Mets | 22c | 2,551$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.33 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 2,145$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.89 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed New York Mets | 1c | 2,145$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,009$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed New York Mets | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,996$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.25 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,976$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.04 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.26 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 1,879$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.52 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,876$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.73 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,839$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.81 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,825$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,804$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,777$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.95 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…be1ebacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,721$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,721$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.08 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…47f6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,639$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…5e15backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,632$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,612$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,594$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.24 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Mets | 41c | 1,554$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.88 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,545$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.3 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,499$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.72 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed New York Mets | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,446$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.34 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,445$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,431$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.04 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,416$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,366$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.48 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,358$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.49 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,356$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.69 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked New York Mets | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…d876backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,184$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,166$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.42 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,137$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,113$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 1,099$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.05 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 1,033$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,025$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.28 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 34c | 1,017$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked New York Mets | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,003$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.85 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed New York Mets | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked New York Mets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.