TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$946,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,149,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $946,702 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Athletics38c210,526$80,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,999.7213561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed New York Yankees62c149,332$92,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,746.043455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees62c78,931$48,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,121.654,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Athletics38c72,513$27,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,554.8523948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Athletics45c41,327$18,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,531.242,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees61c24,966$15,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,735.5285645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees55c23,580$12,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,588.5311,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Athletics1c23,219$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Athletics1c23,218$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3510547.6%50 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees61c19,858$12,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,729.310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Athletics39c12,821$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees62c11,801$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,484.371,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Athletics27c10,920$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+53%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees61c10,834$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.7295045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3837…c6b0backed New York Yankees38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2001770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees56c9,535$5,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.098,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Athletics14c9,205$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.4446239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics36c9,196$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.286,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Athletics1c8,074$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5824639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed New York Yankees62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5213045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees62c8,064$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.321,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed New York Yankees61c7,777$4,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.0247953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics60c7,644$4,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,572.65,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees64c6,753$4,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.061,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics0c6,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked New York Yankees30c6,417$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,493.115650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed New York Yankees65c6,405$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.231958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Athletics27c6,134$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.1944744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2801,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked New York Yankees59c5,984$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.7317460.9%106 W · 68 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Athletics40c5,348$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.071,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Athletics56c4,864$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.445726.3%15 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+221.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Athletics40c4,506$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80028944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees39c4,054$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.541,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed New York Yankees62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5206050%30 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked New York Yankees62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5206645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed New York Yankees62c3,800$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4446349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees30c3,628$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.1460043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees62c3,594$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.523,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed New York Yankees72c3,558$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.821767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees62c3,493$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.261,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics39c3,405$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.536,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics60c3,291$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.93,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Athletics71c3,269$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.652770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Athletics38c3,145$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.0528553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed Athletics1c2,928$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8918652.7%98 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Athletics41c2,909$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.728453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics64c2,863$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.162,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked New York Yankees62c2,808$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.216650%33 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics52c2,683$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.152,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Athletics43c2,652$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1465538.2%21 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics52c2,476$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.791,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb459…3efdbacked New York Yankees62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.351764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed New York Yankees68c2,359$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.84647.8%22 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Athletics6c2,291$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7741637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Athletics72c2,287$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.65339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees70c2,286$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.49,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees60c2,222$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.632,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked New York Yankees61c2,131$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.0923152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Yankees60c2,109$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.581,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d1…8d0ebacked Athletics25c2,074$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.52650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed New York Yankees61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Athletics40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Athletics39c1,980$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.0389053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Athletics41c1,862$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.852,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed New York Yankees54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8517951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Athletics26c1,750$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9459549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed New York Yankees50c1,609$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.0622257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aad…16c3backed Athletics41c1,599$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86b4…c1ffbacked New York Yankees60c1,598$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Athletics70c1,596$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.864,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees62c1,550$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.411,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d4c…fc89backed New York Yankees59c1,492$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.5329843.6%130 W · 168 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed New York Yankees59c1,473$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.8829449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees58c1,459$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.8479147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed New York Yankees34c1,442$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9430242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Athletics2c1,211$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75651756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics39c1,160$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.419950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees62c1,073$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.7469453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics52c1,016$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.5812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed New York Yankees62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3805653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Athletics39c999.05$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.431,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed New York Yankees32c995.44$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.936440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Yankees62c967.74$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7434756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Athletics40c900.39$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.651,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked New York Yankees59c852.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3222546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletics39c827.9$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.62,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked New York Yankees61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6721248.1%102 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed New York Yankees62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.453953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30485952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Athletics73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005468.5%37 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc9…d80bbacked New York Yankees72c683.11$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.393554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics39c660$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.71,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics58c646.87$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics48c632.2$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.276,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf677…2efebacked Athletics73c616.22$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Athletics38c612.82$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4966056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics40c590$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.21,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.