TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Athletics49c26,782$13,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,123.3623948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees51c20,570$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,070.844,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees51c14,828$7,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,276.392,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed New York Yankees50c6,767$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.547953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Athletics50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Athletics49c5,289$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.61,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Athletics50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Athletics49c4,011$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.441,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees49c3,630$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.68,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Athletics49c3,551$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.212,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees51c3,055$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.9592054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Athletics58c2,456$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.092,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees46c2,401$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.2312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Athletics49c2,000$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.3324150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees50c1,551$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.9211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Athletics50c1,200$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.489053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics62c1,018$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.351,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed New York Yankees50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb459…3efdbacked New York Yankees51c833.33$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.331764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Athletics49c833.11$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.2338353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Athletics51c587.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed New York Yankees50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25029344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees51c493.29$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.714,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed New York Yankees50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed New York Yankees51c386.27$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.276369.8%44 W · 19 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees56c362.76$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.988,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b2…ae24backed New York Yankees51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ef…9a9fbacked New York Yankees51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed New York Yankees51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0818860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0812845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees51c168.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.336,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1fe…f03dbacked Athletics49c166.18$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.432657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Athletics50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521851.4%112 W · 106 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Athletics49c122.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked New York Yankees51c115.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.586746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked New York Yankees47c113$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed New York Yankees46c108.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.497450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Athletics49c108$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.491,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Athletics49c104.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3130048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…d4fbbacked Athletics50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Athletics49c100.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1755643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3447849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked New York Yankees51c80.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.71,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics49c78.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.439,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Yankees62c78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.721,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Athletics50c60.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0913853.6%74 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3024248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked New York Yankees50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked New York Yankees52c58.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1470455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Athletics59c55.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees47c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.153,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed New York Yankees51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0221554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Athletics57c42.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9511658.6%68 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe951…e71ebacked New York Yankees52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletics51c36.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.512,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed New York Yankees51c33.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5678155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Athletics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd47a…67fabacked Athletics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed New York Yankees50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1581651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed New York Yankees50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1534843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Athletics49c28.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1114057.9%81 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Athletics49c25.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.697646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed New York Yankees51c25.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5559749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Athletics50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5414643.8%64 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc64…e603backed Athletics50c24.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x111e…f5ecbacked Athletics50c22.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.412245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Athletics50c20.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.491,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe16d…0f19backed Athletics50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c7…a5e3backed New York Yankees50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb7…2f0fbacked New York Yankees50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd801…1ecfbacked Athletics50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.316,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Athletics59c19.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked New York Yankees77c17.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9421852.8%115 W · 103 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.