TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbc9…d80b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$69.78
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.53
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$47.73
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$62.6
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$575.34
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041.34
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.28
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$264.04
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$128.75
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.34
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$67.73
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+360.2%+$270.74
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.49
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.06
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$190.39
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+32%+$89.19
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$227.33
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$156.64
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.51
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+295.2%+$441.25
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.92
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+248.6%+$39.18
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31%+$3.4
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$63.13
Will Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$38.28
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.07
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.77
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.24
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.86
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$68.87
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$91.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.85
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+195.2%+$42.99
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.94
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$58.85
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$104.91
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+52%+$41.83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$144.13
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.