Fifa International · resolved market
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69bb87bffc604632c770e5a308c25ac72e4e4f337558be6a190635d7d9900037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 5,736$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.34 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 33c | 4,628$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.07 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked No | 13c | 4,127$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.54 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 26c | 3,807$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.84 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Yes | 1c | 2,675$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 12c | 2,489$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.48 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed No | 14c | 2,400$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.99 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…fc59backed No | 34c | 2,070$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed Yes | 64c | 1,974$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.96 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 52c | 1,365$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.25 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed No | 12c | 1,110$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.05 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…36fdbacked No | 16c | 800$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 16c | 661.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.39 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 17c | 637.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.14 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 37c | 633$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.67 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 23c | 625$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.38 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 75c | 560.67$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 59c | 510.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 76c | 489.39$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 16c | 468$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.12 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 23c | 300.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.32 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.56 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 296.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 26c | 260$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 17c | 260$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 46c | 258.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 21c | 246.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 236$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 57c | 235$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 17c | 225.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 207.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.22 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 26c | 193.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc9…d80bbacked No | 67c | 191.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 14c | 171.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 12c | 157.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…8104backed No | 17c | 149.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 15c | 140$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 65c | 133.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 37c | 132.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 58c | 125.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…edcbbacked No | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 124 | 16.9%21 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed No | 12c | 117$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 17c | 110$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 40c | 98.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…6306backed No | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 36c | 84.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 67c | 84.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed No | 20c | 81.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 15c | 79.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 13c | 75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 72.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…18f6backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…c83bbacked No | 69c | 68.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 24c | 64.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 35c | 61.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 61.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 20c | 59.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 29c | 55.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 32c | 53.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 34c | 52.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…2a2cbacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…476dbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 61c | 45.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…fd06backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 24c | 42.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 42.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…c89bbacked No | 68c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…4e3bbacked No | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 73c | 25.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…5865backed No | 68c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…2453backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…781dbacked Yes | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.